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Russell.Quinn.Ryan.Flacco

I was just very curious about how Brady Quinn would stack up against  the quarterbacks taken from this year's first round (Ryan and Flacco) and from last year (Russell). 

Quinn only started two games, so I only took the other quarterbacks stats from their first two NFL regular season starts.

Quarterback Comp Att Pct Yds Avg TD Int Sck SckY Rate Att Yds Avg TD FUM Lost
Matt Ryan 11 23 54.3 159.5 8.6 0.5 1 2.5 17 83.3 5.5 4 0.65 0 1 0
Joe Flacco 14 24 60.05 129 5.6 0 1 0.5 3.5 55.75 5 17.5 4.5 0.5 1 0
Brady Quinn 18.5 35.5 52.3 212 5.95 1 0 0.5 4.5 80.1 2.5 10.5 3.75 0 0 0
JaMarcus Russell 16.25 29.75 56.175 170.5 5.775 0.5 0.5 0.5 4 67.925 3.75 14 4.125 0.25 0.5 0

I was very surprised that Quinn is averaging 35 attempts per game. I thought he would only throw about 20 a game and average at least a pick a game.

I'm not a big stats guy except for one stats, and that is this stats:
Through their first two games started,

Joe Flacco is (2-0)
Matt Ryan is (1-1)
Brady Quinn is (1-1)
JaMarcus Russel is (0-2)

I think that when it's all said and done and when this guys retire 10 years from  now, Joe Flacco will win a Superbowl within the next three years (3 years left remaining on the Ray Lewis Era). Brady Quinn and Matt Ryan will be a Hasselbeck/Romo kind of player (Getting to the playoffs annually but also falling on their faces annually). Russell, is still a big question mark. I think he'd be a decent quarterback like Matt Schaub but just not in Oakland.

Of course, it's too early to call anyone the next Joe Montana or the next Ryan Leaf. Lots of factors are to be considered.

Another stats not included is their salary. Quinn's, even though is still high, is not as high as the other three.

Poll
10 years from now, who will be the better quarterback?
JaMarcus Russell
0 votes
Brady Quinn
62 votes
Matt Ryan
64 votes
Joe Flacco
5 votes

131 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 100 comments

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Man... a Ravens superbowl in 3 years

Where do I sign up? Is there a contract?

But seriously, isn’t it a little early to tell? JaMarcus Russel is probably my pick for least likely to succeed, given that Oakland is the equivalent of QB hell.

Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco have already well exceeded their expectations.

We haven’t seen nearly enough data on Brady Quinn to know who he is. He played well at home against Denver and poorly on the road against Buffalo. Quinn has had a lot of time to learn how to handle NFL defenses, so I would have a high expectation for him starting out.

by math_geek on Nov 18, 2008 6:53 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

there is no chance in hell the ratbirds win a super bowl in the next 3 years. i’d say we have a better shot at a super bowl in the next 3 years than the ratbirds do.

by Dawg Nuts on Nov 19, 2008 10:30 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Not to be an apologist, but I didn’t feel that he played badly in buffalo….I felt his performance was just “average.” He got off to a slow start, but I felt like once he got warmed up, he did exactly what he is supposed to do. (Good decisions, smart throws, throwing down the field)

I didn’t have any “GOD @!#&* QUINN WTF WAS THAT” moments I have every game with DA. (Sans the Giants game)

"Mixed emotions. Rather see him hit PEDroia [with that pitch]. I don’t care if he is in the dugout"

by Gradysmanldy on Nov 21, 2008 9:53 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I had one: when the quick blitz up the middle made him throw a blooper to nobody in particular that (i think Leodis McKelvin) almost picked off. I think I screamed “NOOOOOO!” before the ball even left Brady’s hand.

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Nov 21, 2008 10:03 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Wins are about as indicative of who is a good quarterback as they are of who is a good pitcher. Last night’s game was all the proof of that anyone should ever need.

by fwembt on Nov 18, 2008 8:35 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well, Quinn has played one good game and one poor one, and he’s 1-1. I call that justice.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 18, 2008 9:23 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Regardless of the justice of it all, it is a terrible way to measure a quarterback.

by fwembt on Nov 19, 2008 12:49 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I completely agree. I was just being humorous.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 11:28 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We confuse one another all the time on that.

by fwembt on Nov 19, 2008 2:02 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i think i disagree with you, fwembt, although i know what you’re getting at. as far as pitching, you’re 100% correct, but w/ QBs, wins are a much more relevant stat. pitchers are expected to throw strikes and limit runs…they ultimately can’t “win” a game since they are in no way (in the AL at least) responsible for scoring runs.

qb’s on the other hand, are the nerve center of the offense, which, on the whole, has to produce points to win a game. eli manning hasn’t thrown for 200 yards yet this year, but with the Giants at 9-1, wouldn’t you say he’s been a “good” qb? i guess a better question is: who would you rather was your QB in the ’80s, montana or marino? how about peyton vs. brady?

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 19, 2008 5:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You argue that pitchers can’t win a game because they are in no way responsible for scoring runs. Well, in football, quarterbacks are in no way responsible for preventing runs. What’s the difference?

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 5:29 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The difference is that a qb can score “runs” to combat the other team’s. If the defense can’t prevent “runs”, the qb/offense has an opportunity to score enough to keep up with or pass the other team.

Plus, no decisions factor into the inadequacy of judging a pitcher by wins, not so in football.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 19, 2008 7:52 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Also, you said that Eli Manning hasn’t thrown for 200 yards this year — that’s not even close to being correct. He threw for over 200 yards in 4 games (and over 190 yards in 3 others).

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 5:31 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

190 isn’t 200, but that’s beside the point. you’re right, i clearly misunderstood a stat that i’d read, or had outdated info. in any event, my point remains that eli’s stats aren’t top of the line, but i think everyone would agree that he’s a “good” qb this year since his team is 9-1, no?

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 19, 2008 7:37 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, Manning’s been a good QB. And a lot of other Giants have been good this year, too. That’s why they’re 9-1. Judging a QB by team wins is just as dumb as judging a pitcher by team wins.

You never answered why it’s not okay to judge a pitcher by wins, because he doesn’t contribute to offense, but it’s okay to judge a QB by wins even though he doesn’t contribute to defense (or special teams, either).

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 7:48 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

let me be clear, though, and say that wins are certainly not, as the poster suggests, the best measure of a qb. my point is that it’s a much more relevant stat to a qb than it is to a pitcher.

qb’s clearly get too much blame and too much credit for w’s and l’s, but, ultimately, if the offense can’t put the biscuit in the basket a team will lose. there are notable exceptions (‘00-’01 ravens were carried by jamal and the defense), but in general you need a capable offense to win in the nfl and a capable offense has to include a capable qb.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 19, 2008 8:00 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

OK, baseball is 50% scoring runs and 50% preventing runs. The preventing runs part is mostly pitching with some defense included. Let’s say pitching is 40-45% with the rest defense. Starters don’t usually go the whole game, so let’s say that the starting pitcher controls 35% of the outcome of a baseball game. Does that sound fair?

Football is offense, defense, and special teams. Offense and defense are equal, so how much credit do we give special teams? I’ll say 10% — some might say that’s low. But that gives the offense 40% control of a football game. I know the QB controls the offense, but there’s still 11 players on offense (not including all the backups who play regularly). Let’s be generous and give the QB control of half of the offense — I think that’s way to much, but I’m trying to be fair — that would make give him control of 20% of a football game (I think it should certainly be less).

So a QB has control of about 20% of the outcome of a football game while a starting pitcher has control of about 35% of a baseball game (by my unscientific method). Do you still want to argue that W-L record is more important for a QB than for a pitcher?

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 8:14 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We won on Monday. Was Quinn even mediocre? No. He was awful. To give the qb all the credit for a win or all the blame for a loss is absurd. Quinn played well in his first game, was it his fault we lost or was it the defense blowing a 13 point lead? Our offense put up 30 points. That should win a game. By your logic, Quinn and our offense were not good that game.

And the Giants are 9-1 because of their running game.

by fwembt on Nov 19, 2008 7:56 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

your interpretation of my logic is completely off. and i would also submit that quinn was not awful on monday night. he was adequate…but he had 0 turnovers, made 0 game-changing mistakes, and put the team in position to kick the game-winning field goal. i can’t give him an F-, as you do, for that performance.

the giants’ running game and defense are great, to be sure, but they wouldn’t be 9-1 if eli didn’t effectively manage the game and throw select darts (like to toomer at the 3 in the steelers game) to ice games away.

i’ll say again…i’m not saying wins are the only or even the best measure through which to evaluate a qb. it is a MUCH more relevant statistic, however, than wins are for a pitcher.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 19, 2008 8:07 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You’re wrong — see above.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 8:17 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Brad, I really like you citing yourself here. That’s strong…especially when you’re citing completely made up numbers. I’ll have to get back to you on what I think about your figures.

fwembt, you actually help to make my point below…14-36 is bad on paper, but how many drops were there? how many throw aways? how many blitzes that weren’t picked up by the RBs or by WRs who then ran the wrong route? Also, are you saying that Eli is definitely not the best of those 4 qb’s strictly based on statistics? What are the various run/pass splits? How many drops do his receivers have? What’s the offensive system require of him?

again, W’s are MORE relevant to qb’s than pitchers, not the be-all stat. for the reasons i just laid out above, as well as:
- qb’s start 100% of the games (theoretically), p’s less than 20. a team’s win total is much more likely to reflect the overall ability of the team (and qb) to win games. every 5th day your offense may go cold in the bigs. plus, Brad, 20 of 100% is a larger number than 35% of 20%.
- no decisions. their mere existence makes wins borderline irrelevant in baseball. there’s no such thing (just ask donovan mcnabb) is football.
- no “ERA+” or “park factor” to standardize qb’s, like there is in baseball. in any case, i’d argue that stat is irrelevant, as qb’s in the AFC don’t play in all the same stadiums in a season, and the dimensions are always the same.
- no system-factor. troy aikman has pretty middling stats, but is there any argument that he was a first-ballot hall of famer? the guy played with the all-time leading rusher, of course his passing stats will suffer.
- older qb’s are penalized. johnny u’s stats get passed every year, mostly b/c he played in the early days of the vertical offense. that makes him worse than those other qb’s? otto graham wasn’t a great qb? derek anderson blew away his best stats last year.

i want to ask you guys a final question that you haven’t answered: who was the better qb, montana or marino? shape that question however you want, but i think it’s clear who sits atop whom in the pantheon of great quarterbacks (montana, in my opinion), but your analysis would hold that it’s marino w/o argument. i guess that helps to color this discussion.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 11:09 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, pitchers don’t start every game. And their W-L record doesn’t include games they don’t start, so that point doesn’t matter. Would you count wins for Brady Quinn for the games which Anderson started? Of course not! So what’s your point?

You argued that W-L record for a QB matters more than W-L record for a pitcher because a QB has more control over a game he plays in than a starting pitcher does. I said that you were wrong, and you haven’t said anything that counters my reasoning.

I’m certainly not saying that you should judge pitchers by their W-L record because that’s dumb, I’m just arguing that judging QB’s by their W-L record is even dumber. There are more players around the QB that have an effect on the game than players around a starting pitcher have an effect on the game, so judging a QB only by team wins is absurd.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 11:53 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Also, I wasn’t “citing” myself as a reference, I just wanted to tell you that I had already posted my arguments above. My numbers were completely made up off the top of my head, but if you — or anyone else — disagrees with the numbers I estimated please let me know.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 12:55 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

don’t be so sensitive, man. i was busting your chops.

and i’ll take major issue with defense being 5-10% of the results of a game. with the number of balls put in play in the course of a game, that’s woefully low. your argument is that starting pitching is 70, relief 20, and defense 10% of preventing runs. i can’t get with that.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 1:11 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

True, defense should be more, so take a few percent off the pitcher’s number. But I also made the QB worth fifty percent of the offense. That is way too high, but I was trying to be generous to your side of the argument. You should cut that number at least in half. So a starting pitcher stil has way more control over a single game than a QB. I don’t know how you could possibly argue any other way.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 1:23 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

25% of the offense for the qb definitely doesn’t work for me. i honestly think you’re much closer at 50, and you may be low, given that he delivers 36 passes a game (for example), calls audibles, in some cases calls out blocking schemes, calls the plays and gets people lined up correctly. look, a lot has to go right in the offense, to be sure, but if the QB goes wrong, the offense doesn’t go. that’s more than 50.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 1:57 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

QBs on the bench 60% of the time!!!!!!! He is the most important player in only about 20-25% of the plays in any given game!

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 4:09 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The QB needs to not fumble the snap, even on a handoff.

Granted, even the crappiest of QBs snap-fumble-rate wouldn’t be that much different from the best QBs in the NFL.

This kind of analysis is nowhere close to as potent for Football as it is for Baseball.

by rufio on Nov 20, 2008 11:11 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i think we should count anderson’s wins for brady, but not his losses…

my point on the starting every game is that over a 162 game cycle, teams have rough days at the plate, and an unlucky pitcher can be exposed to that pretty frequently in the course of 30 starts. that’s part of why wins are irrelevant for pitchers. for qb’s, i don’t think you get unlucky w/ the rest of the team whiffing many times when you start every game.

i agree on pitchers. let’s be sure to get that out there. clearly, i disagree on qb’s, BUT i’m NOT saying it’s appropriate to judge a QB ONLY by team wins. that is NOT what i am saying. want to be clear on that.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 2:01 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

OK, so a pitcher can get unlucky and have bad offensive run support for 30 games. But a QB can’t be unlucky and get bad defensive and special teams support for 16 games?

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 2:29 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i think if your special teams and defense are bad for 16 games, that no longer counts as unlucky. point being, if the special teams and defense are bad, at least a qb has a chance to lead his offense to points (see: brady quinn, final drive against buffalo) and win the game. if the pitcher gets unlucky and his team goes cold for his starts, there’s nothing he can do except keep throwing 0’s.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 6:30 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Exactly my point. It doesn’t matter if the offense (for pitchers) or defense/special teams (for QB’s) is unlucky or just plain bad, it’s out of that person’s control. All you judge a player by is what’s in his control.

Also, I think it’s funny that you say a pitcher can have “unlucky” run support for only 30 games, implying that’s a small sample, yet you’re judging a quarterback by 16 games.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 7:07 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yes, I’m saying Eli is not one of the best four qb’s in the league. He’s probably top ten. I love the attempts here to make 14-36 seem ok.

DA’s comp % is sub-50, and was a nose hair over 50 this week (17-33).

That’s you arguing against DA, I see no mention of mitigating factors when it isn’t the guy you like.

- sub-50% completion % from the guy who’s taken every snap

You again, in a bullet list. So, which is it? Does completion percentage matter or not

Your argument for W’s as a measure is actually good argument against them.

No system factor, for example, I guess that makes Trent Dilfer quite the quarterback. He did go 11-5 and win the Super Bowl. In 2004, Ben Roethlisberger was far better than Peyton Manning. After all, your boy Ben won 15 games and Peyton only won 12. Of course, Peyton threw 32 more touchdowns and one fewer interceptions, but wins are what matters for a qb. So there goes the system factor argument.

No decisions? What about games where the qb is terrible and wins? Trent Edwards was a bad kick from winning on Monday. He certainly earned it too.

Starting 100% of the games isn’t much of an argument either. The only way that matters is if you actually think team wins is a good measure of a quarterback. It’s a tremendous circular argument, to be sure.

How are older qb’s penalized? Just look at the numbers as compared to the era. Is anyone here making the argument that Derek Anderson is better than Otto Graham? No.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 12:04 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

try to pay closer attention to what i’m saying…wins are more relevant for qb’s than pitchers. they are not solely “what matters” for a qb.

big ben won 13 games in ‘04, not 15. dilfer won 7 games, not 11 (and actually, the ravens won 12) in ’00. let’s get a few things right. our capacity for reason allows us to evaluate that peyton was the better qb in ‘04 b/c he had far superior stats on a similarly successful team. i’ve never said wins are ALL that matters.

100% starts certainly matters. If you think a QB has an impact on the success of a team, then the win rate of games that he starts definitely makes a difference. you don’t have to agree that wins is a good measure of a qb to acknowledge that a qb has an impact on the win or loss of a game.

as to DA, i’ve defended him against edwards drops, as well…the drop in the ravens game probably cost DA his job, which sucks. but my comments above had to have come after 7 or 8 games (i’m sure you’ll correct me), a 3-5 record, and a much larger sample size than 36 attempts. if quinn continues at 39% i’ll get all over him, but if they’re 7-1 in his 8 starts, i sure won’t ask for him to be replaced.

i guess that last sentence helps to illustrate my point. if a pitcher is 0-11 w/ a 1.98 era, clearly you send him out for start after start, whereas if a qb is 0-11, he’s getting replaced, regardless of his numbers. i believe the flip to be true, also, which is an 11-0 pitcher w/ a 7.42 era probably never has the chance to go 11-0, quite frankly, while an 11-0 QB w/ a 40% comp % will keep trotting out there.

marino or montana?

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 1:51 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Even the ridiculous Marino or Montana question, much like the rest of what you are saying, doesn’t make sense. Montana has a higher TD%, a lower INT %, a higher rating, a higher completion %, higher yards per attempt, higher adjusted yards per attempt, and fewer wins. So, what, pray tell, is your point there? Marino leads in touchdowns, attempts (by over 2900) and yards. The superficial stats.

Of course a QB has an impact on the outcome of the game but, given there are twenty one other players involved on every single play he makes, it’s stupid to use wins to measure his success. Your pathetic argument is summarized in one sentence

if quinn continues at 39% i’ll get all over him, but if they’re 7-1 in his 8 starts, i sure won’t ask for him to be replaced.

That’s patently absurd. So is replacing a quarterback who puts up good numbers on an 0-11 teams.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 2:10 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well, i clearly stuck with the wrong comparison, but i’m glad i encouraged you to go to football reference.com after you whiffed on the big ben/dilfer numbers above. you’ve debunked my marino-montana choice (although, montana had a higher win % than marino, which i think you must realize is my point, not just raw victories), fair enough.

but i also cited manning/brady earlier, which is a much better topic: manning has higher TD %, higher rating, higher comp %, higher Y/A, higher AY/A, but brady has a higher winning percentage and more rings. who’s better/who would you rather have?

the fact that i disagree with you doesn’t mean i’m not making sense. that’s not an argument. you clearly refuse to understand my contention that wins are not the sole measure of qb success…rather (for the 8th time) they are a more relevant stat to qb’s than pitchers. the fact that i’d take brady over manning, given that their stats are fairly comparable, illustrates where i’m coming from.

i’m sure you’ll disagree.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 3:05 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Taking your numbers at face value, I’ll take Manning. he’s the better QB. See how easy that is? Winning percentage and rings are hack arguments based on the achievements of a team. You cannot seem to understand that, so I am out.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 4:45 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Once again, please tell me how the variance in the amount of runs a team scores to help a pitcher is different than the variance in the amount of runs a defense gives up to help a quarterback. That was your argument above as to why wins are more relevant for pitchers. But I don’t understand why you think that is true.

Also, not only does a quarterback not have control of anything on defense or special teams, which is at least 60% of the game combined, but he doesn’t have control over the line blocking for him, the backs running the ball, or the recievers catching the ball. Of course a starting pitcher relies on his defense, but defense throughout the league is very consistant so there is not much variance between teams. NFL teams, though, have widely varied talent at reciever and offensive line which the quarterback has no control over.

I really don’t understand how you can think a QB has more control over a game than a starting pitcher. Many baseball teams are great when a certain pitchers starts and terrible when others start. Look at Arizona in ‘01 (I think); they were fantastic when Schilling and Johnson started and about .500 when others started. That’s how much difference a starting pitcher makes in a baseball game. But how many times in football do you see a backup QB take over after an injury and the team play almost as well (of course they won’t be the same). Look at the Patriots this year without Brady (since you like using him so much) — they’re still a damn good team with a starting QB who hasn’t started since high school.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 4:45 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i guess we’ll have to agree to disagree on the qb vs. pitcher game effect. i’m clearly not explaining myself very well, and i haven’t made up any numbers to try to support my stance.

i see you have terrelle pryor in your profile pick…why did ohio state replace boeckman with t-pain? b/c he was going to throw for more td’s? be more accurate? throw fewer picks? i’d argue it’s none of those things, and in fact boeckman is clearly superior on all of those fronts. sure, terrelle is more mobile, but that’s a single, and minor, advantage at the qb position. pryor’s insertion into the starting qb slot was made b/c the coaching staff thinks that he provides the nebulous benefit of “putting the team in a better position to win the game”.

cassel’s rating is 87.3, clearly above the league average. he may not have started a game since high school, but he’s no slouch. and why is it a foregone conclusion that he’ll command a big contract in the offseason? not b/c of 87.3, as much as his ability to step in and lead the pats to w’s. at least in my view.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 6:36 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don’t know what you’re trying to say with the Pryor comparison. You argue that Boekman is the better QB in every facet of the game, except running, yet OSU put in Pryor because he would “put the team in a better position to win the game.” What exactly does that mean? If Boekman is the better player, wouldn’t he help the team win more? Tressel put in Pryor because it was obvious that defenses found out Boekman’s flaws and were picking him apart. He is very similar to DA in that he was good at first but when teams got film on them they could find ways to stop him. Pryor gave OSU a better chance to win because he was making plays, both with his arm and with his feet, not because he had some supernatural ability to win. That seems to be what you’re arguing, if I’m following you correctly.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 7:36 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah man, I already was on the opposite side of this discussion, but you completely lost it with the Pryor comp.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 10:01 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If a QB was 0-11 and had a 100 QB rating with 20 TDs and 5 INTs, no, I don’t think you think about benching him. That’s about the equivalent of a 1.98 ERA, no? Maybe a little better even.

If a QB was 11-0 and had a 50 rating with 10 TDs and 15 INTs, he is getting benched. period.

I think you are overstating what coaches and GMs and people in the league think about QB W-L record.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 2:39 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the last couple of super bowls included starting QBs, one of whom won, w/ identical 73.9 ratings (e. manning and grossman). eli even led the NFL in interceptions last year. i think stability, which lead to wins, kept those guys in their jobs. sure, eli got hot toward the end of the year, but that RAISED his rating.

i realize this is a small sample size, but it helps to illustrate my point. ultimately, it’s not as cut and dried as either of us says.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 2:57 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But 73.9 is not like a 7.42 ERA, its like a 4.75 ERA. And if you have the one of the best offenses in baseball (like the Bears and Giants had one the best Ds in football in their given year), league average or even slightly worse is perfectly acceptable. Its not great. If you had a guy sitting on the bench that could put up a 80 rating, you would have a QB controversy, but 73.9 is not horrendus. This entire analysis though, has NOTHING to do with W-L record.

Was Eli Manning a good QB last season in the regular season? Not really. He wasn’t near the top 10 in any rate stats, and really only the bad counting stats- like sacks and INTs. He played better in the playoffs, but the Giants were only in the playoffs because of a solid running game, solid defense and a great pass rush. The superbowl didn’t make him a great QB. He might have a bit longer of a leash because of the championship, but that is a lot different than a 11-0 record and terrible stats. All you have to do is look at Grossman to see a super bowl QB that was average during the SB year and then got benched when his play slipped to below average the next season.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 3:38 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

seems to me that it has everything to do with winning. grossman regressed, sure, but the bears were 2-5 when he got benched. you said yourself that eli gets more leash b/c of a SB win. does the strong safety? unlikely.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 5:33 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Grossman was not benched because they were 2-5. He played weeks 1, 2, and 3. I don’t remember if he was hurt, but he didn’t play after those three weeks until week 10. His QB rating was something like 45 and 6 INTs to 1 TD. Who cares that they were 1-2 in those three games, HE was terrible. That’s why he was benched.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 5:38 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

No, they aren’t. Quinn was horrid on Monday 14-36 is bad, no matter how you choose to coat it. I didn’t give him an F- as you suggested in your straw man. He was just awful, that’s all. 14-36 from an NFL qb is incomprehensibly bad.

The Giants would be 9-1 pretty much no matter who was back there. Manning has a passer rating that puts him almost exactly at league average. He’s slightly above average in TD’s, well below in yards per attempt. He’s below average in completion percentage and about exactly average in attempts. Kurt Warner outstrips him in every category so do Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo. I ask you, of those four, is Manning really the best? Unequivocally not.

by fwembt on Nov 19, 2008 8:20 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But, considering it was only his second start, and he had several dropped passes that were right on the money and Jamal Lewis ( not the O-line) whiffed on 4 or 5 blitzes right up the middle of his dropback……..he did a better than average job IMO

Oh The People You Meet When Your Out of Ammo.........

by Juannieboy on Nov 19, 2008 10:59 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Completely agree on the drops and missed blocking assignments on blitzes. Also consider that any time Braylon encounters contact off the line on a slant route, he pretty much gives up on the route for all intents and purposes.

while Brady didn’t earn any All-Pro votes on Monday night, calling his night awful based on the completion percentage is not fair.

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Nov 19, 2008 11:10 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

There were three clean rushes on Quinn in the game. One resulted in a incompletion, one was the lob that McKelvin (I think) dropped and one was a sack. The dropped passes are just a part of our team now, sadly. I only counted three of those as well. It wasn’t an above average game, it wasn’t even average. I want the guy to do well but sycophantically proclaiming that as “better than average” is just wrong.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 1:46 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Calling it “incomprehensibly bad” is also wrong. You can’t just base your analysis on completion percentage. He didn’t have any turnovers, which is good. He made two nice runs for first downs. He made some nice throws on the run. No, he wasn’t great. He wasn’t even good. But he wasn’t awful. There are a lot of things that don’t show up in the stats.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 7:22 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I meant that 14-36 is incomprehensibly bad, not the entire performance. There were not enough drops or throw aways to account for missing on 22 throws.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 11:37 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dude, Quinn was good on Monday. Did you see any of his receivers open? I didn’t. He did enough to win the game. He didn’t turn Steptoe into Randy Moss, but what did you expect?

If wins aren’t the stat that defines a QB, completion% surely isn’t either. Sometimes a throw-away is the best play you can make!

Wins may not be the way to rate a QB (causality), but if we just happen to win with him back there, I’ll take that any day (correlation).

by rufio on Nov 20, 2008 12:27 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Right, I did forget the 22 throw aways he made. Are you being serious? He threw for 185 yards and 4.9 yards per pass. He didn’t throw a touchdown. How are we measuring a “good” game for a quarterback here? No interceptions? Is every game without an interception a good game? You cannot turn 14-36 for 185 yards into a good game no matter how hard you try. We won because the Bills somehow contrived to be worse than we were. That’s all.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 1:41 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I read that again and I come of as considerably more dickish than I intended. I apologize, I’m sick and that seems to have lowered the filter a bit.

by fwembt on Nov 20, 2008 1:48 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Don’t feel bad…. i think you really hit it on the head with this:

We won because the Bills somehow contrived to be worse than we were.

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Nov 20, 2008 9:10 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Don’t feel bad. I don’t take any of this personally. it really wasn’t all that dickish.

Seriously, though, he just has “it”. I really hate resorting to the “I don’t know how to define pornography, but I know it when I see it” BS argument, but I almost am here.

He has great pocket movement. He is tough, and will lower his shoulder to pick up a 1st down on a run. His play-action fakes are amazingly better than DA’s. He is the first QB since the Browns came back that can ACUALLY AUDIBLE! (Or at least pretend to audible. I obviously don’t know if he is actually changing a play). His arm is much stronger than I thought it was, and when he isn’t losing the strike zone, he is very accurate (by that I mean he is accurate but not consistent so far).

He played a good game because he didn’t kill us with TOs, he made plays with his legs when he needed to, he didn’t flat out miss people, and he did the best with what his teammates gave him. He completed 14 passes in the freezing cold with a broken finger on his throwing hand. He put up 29 points on the road in his first road start! When Quinn looked like he was throwing an inaccurate ball, it was probably just a throwaway where no one was really open so he was leaving the ball in a place where his guy could make a circus catch or the throw would sail safely out of bounds. It looked like he did that a lot, and I will watch what I have of the film. Anderson missed wide-open receivers. Quinn throws it away before he gets sacked. Which is better to you?

Its not there in the stats—where were not great as you suggest. This is football, the stats don’t necessarily tell the story.

by rufio on Nov 20, 2008 11:28 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Quinn was not awful

by Roger Dorn on Nov 20, 2008 1:11 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Its Marino over Montana. And its not even close.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 12:34 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

finally an answer, thanks Dogg. i go back and forth, personally, but today’s a montana day. i think for me (this sounds like it wouldn’t hold true for you), the fact that it’s a discussion underscores the gravity of wins for qb’s.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 1:52 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the gravity of the discussion, but that doesn’t make it matter. QB’s are on the field about 40% of the game and actually do something more than hand off on something like 25% of plays in a football game.

Joe Thomas is 14-10 as a starter. Sounds funny, doesn’t it? But he had way more impact in those 24 games than DA or BQ. The left tackle has a job to do on passing and running plays. He also probably plays a part on the FG team. You could argue that the difference between a top of the line LT and replacement level is not as high as all-pro QB and replacement QB, but I’m not convinced.

W-L record for a starting pitcher is not all that valuable, but it is pure gold when compared to W-L for a QB. Extend that to playoffs and Super Bowl wins, and you have the Marino-Montana discussion. Now, I’ll listen to pro-Montana arguments, but only because Montana had a better QB rating, higher TD% on his passes, lower INT %, and better completion %.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 2:08 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i’m interested to see how you got to the numbers on non-handoff plays for a qb. are we talking total plays in the game? can’t be just offensive plays for the qb’s team.

i hear what you’re saying about Joe T., but i completely reject the argument that someone with responsibilities on every play has more of an impact than the QB. for one, the QB has responsibilities on every play—and the same could be said of every player—but if i’m to understand you correctly, then the fact that thomas has a player to block on each play makes him more impactful than da/quinn. wouldn’t that follow for steinbach, fraley, hadnot, tucker/shaffer then? i cannot support an argument that would hold that rex hadnot has more of an impact on football games than, say, peyton manning.

lastly…based on the pro-Montana stats you cite here, i’m having a hard time seeing how you’d take Marino!

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 2:41 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I did this a month or so ago. But I’ll do it again for the Buffalo game:

Browns passing plays (BQ’s attempts + sacks) = 37
Browns running plays = 27
Bills passing plays = 26
Bills running plays = 38
FG attempts = 8
Punts = 8
Kickoffs = 13
TOTAL = 157

BQ plays: 41 (26.1)
Trent Edwards plays: 29 (18.5)
Joe Thomas plays: 69 (44%)

Even when you consider the Browns put the ball in Brady’s hands an absurd amount, 41 times when you count his runs, that is still just slightly over a quarter of total plays in the game. In 3/4 of the game’s plays, BQ was either watching on the side-line or turning around and giving the ball to someone. Now, I will say, that the first time I did this (for a game that DA played) I didn’t even consider audibles, because I honestly forgot the potential of a QB reading the D and changing the play at the line until I saw BQ do it, or at least fake doing it, to a running play. But even if you count ALL the browns RUNNING PLAYS, all the times Brady turned around a gave it to Lewis for a 3 yard gain, you still only get 64 plays, or 40.8%. The rest of the time he was impacting the game as much as you or me.

You say you can’t support the argument that Hadnot is more impactful in a given game than Peyton Manning. I challenge you- why. Manning is an extreme example. He calls many, if not all, of his own plays. He is in a pass-oriented offense. He is a top 3 QB in the league. But the ONLY argument that I can see to support you is the difference between Manning and his backup, Sorgi, is much greater than the difference between Hadnot and his, McKinney. Even then, you have to say that the difference is so high that it makes up for the higher percentage of plays a RG is in than a QB. In Manning v. Hadnot, an extreme example, the difference in their “vob” (value over backup) might be enough. But if we are talking about an about league average QB (Quinn at this point in his career) with about league average backup (DA) and a all pro tackle (Thomas) and his backup (Sowells?) you have a tougher argument. I’d say that losing Thomas would be WAAAAAYYY worse than losing Quinn in considering our chances to win this week.

On Marino- to be honest, I was surprised how underwhelmed I was with Marino’s stats, the first time I’ve looked at them in a while. Still, the lack of talent on his offenses must be considered. The bottom line is that objective measures in football for individual players are tough to come by. What would Marino’s career look like if he was on the 80’s and 90’s 49ers? We’ll never know.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 4:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

you said it here better than i could. objective measures for individual football players are tough to come by. can we agree that they are much tougher to come by than for baseball players? ergo, my contention that wins are more relevant for quarterbacks than pitchers.

let’s stop, though. this isn’t fun anymore and none of us is convincing the other side.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 5:35 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So, because stats are hard to come by for individual players, let’s pick one player on the team and assign the ‘win’ to him, no matter how he performs? That sounds logical.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 6:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yeah, i actually think that’s right. td % doesn’t tell the whole story. comp % doesn’t tell the whole story. something’s gotta help break the tie, and there’s no ERA+ in football.

over the long term, great qb’s will win more than they lose. as someone said, maybe that’s not a causal relationship, but it sure is correlated.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 6:39 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That is BS. Over the long term great QBs will win more than they lose? Ok, even if I bought that, where would it get me? I’m not going to blindly look at a QB that won 65% of his games and say he was better than a QB that won 55% of his games.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 10:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Also, you seem to be ignoring my questions to you above. I take it that’s because you don’t have a good answer.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 6:04 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

so sorry for the delay, brad, but i believe i’ve answered everything now. satisfied? of course you’re not, b/c i didn’t make up any stats or figures to support my argument. but i think i put some reasoned answers out there.

listen, you’re married to the numbers to the exclusion of qualitative analysis. and that’s fine. you’ll win a lot of arguments with just the numbers. but to me, there are some qb’s that have the ability to deliver wins that others can’t. i’ll refer you back to my heterosexual life partner, tom brady. his numbers may not be as good as peyton’s, but i’d rather have him in the game w/ it on the line. it’s arbitrary, i know, but that’s my opinion.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 6:49 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

having said that, can we just agree to disagree and move on now?

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 6:50 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

…Just like you’re married to counting wins as a legitimate, significant metric for quarterback performance?

by joeee on Nov 20, 2008 6:56 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

not to the exclusion of other analyses. as i said, even though big ben won more games than p. manning in ’04, i still think that manning was the better qb in that year based on his statistics.

thanks for checking in, though.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 7:00 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’ve just reread this branch – you start be declaring that wins are relevant and important for evaluating qbs – but never even come close to quantifying why. You repeated a few cliches like “nerve center of the offense.” Can you make a case for your claim – that wins matter for QBs – without using dead-thought cliches or making external references to baseball pitchers? Let’s hear it – don’t just declare that wins are important, show it.

by joeee on Nov 20, 2008 7:27 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

fair enough. although, my argument is more centered around the relevance of wins as a measure of a pitcher’s success versus a qb’s. i thought i laid out my case, but i’ve also spent a lot of time taking shots across the bow. i’m going to put some numbers down below to try to do just as you suggest.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 8:18 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, I “made up” stats to support my argument. You have yet to refute any of them. All you do is repeat that wins are important and that Tom Brady is better than Peyton Manning, as if that’s going to ‘prove’ your hypothesis.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 7:08 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i thought i disagreed with your underserving of defense in determining a baseball game’s outcome, as well as your contention that 50% of the offense for a qb is high. i’ll put some meat behind it, though, let me know what you think of these numbers:

what is the average IP for a starting pitcher in the majors? 5? i think that’s fair (feel free to disagree). so, right off the bat, a starting pitcher is only involved in recording 15 of 27 outs (55). as we’ve already agreed, “preventing outs” is 50 of the game, so if we credit the pitcher directly for all 15 outs, he’s only responsible for 27.8% (rounding) of the outs that his team has achieved in his 5 innings (50% of 55). also using your figure, you say that the pitcher is about 40-45 (out of 50) of recording outs, w/ defense making up the balance. let’s take 80% (40/50) of 27.8, and you come up w/ a 22.2 exposure to the outcome of the game from the average starting pitcher.

according to Dogg’s numbers above, the Browns’ passed on 23.5% of the total plays in the Bills game, and had a run/pass split of 42.2/57.8. i have no knowledge that would suggest that 42/58 is substantially different from the league average, and in my estimation it’s certainly a more pass-happy league now than in the past, so i’ll keep that as my baseline. as well, quinn ran on 4 plays, to make his total “exposure” 26.1% of the plays played on Monday. does a qb run 4 times every game? maybe not, so i’ll take him down to 25%.

this very simple analysis leads me to believe that an average quarterback is more exposed to a win or loss than an average starting pitcher. what i haven’t attempted to do here is include audibles/call changes, apply any “impact play/out” weighting (i think we can all agree that not all plays or outs are created equal), nor have i ventured to guess at what % of plays result in scores or lead directly to scores.

to spice this up with a little qualitative booze, it is my firm belief that the most important player on the football field is the quarterback, and it’s not close. there is no other single player whose individual performance makes such a dramatic impact on a football game…now when considering this point you have to include audibles, scoring plays, plays that lead to scores, smart throw aways, etc. the starting pitcher may very well be the most important single player on a baseball team, but is his lead over, say, the shortstop, that great? SS, CF…whatever position (not DH) you deem the most important defensively, that player also has the responsibility to produce at the plate. i think that levels the playing field for pitchers and the next most important baseball player.

lastly, b/c we have so much more sophisticated statistics in baseball (and maybe they’re coming in football), we are fortunate to have many many more valuable tools to assess a pitcher’s effectiveness than wins. i would argue that wins are almost entirely irrelevant to a pitcher’s statistics. the mere fact that our statistical (well, my statistical) breakdown of football and quarterbacks is less-well-developed, along w/ the numbers above, lead me to the conclusion that wins are a more relevant stat for qb’s than pitchers…but still far from THE MOST relevant stat for qb’s.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 8:56 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks for the analysis. You average of 5 innings per start seems pretty low to me; I think it’s closer to 6, possibly even a little higher than 6. I did some searching online for a few minutes and coudln’t find anything, but from memory I think I’ve heard over 6 IP per start. If so, the total you came up with for pitchers should increase by 20%.

Also, you’re counting pass plays as controlled entirely by the QB and that is certainly not true at all. The blocking of the offensive line and the route-running and catching ability of the recievers both play large roles in the success of pass play. I don’t think it’s fair to give that credit entirely to the quarterback. While it’s true that a pitcher also relies on his defense, he can make many outs without the help of any defense and most of the other outs he makes can be made by even the worst major league defenders. So he should get most of the credit for outs made in baseball. The quarterback relies on at least 6 or 7 other people on every pass play.

I do agree that the QB is the most important player on a football field. I think that fact is undeniable. He is also usually regarded as the leader of the team which is important. But I don’t think that just because there aren’t any one or two stats which summarizes quarterback play effectively doesn’t mean that we should use wins to judge them. I belive that is highly inaccurate because so much more goes in to winning a football game than quarterback play. What if the Buffalo kicker had made the field goal in the last minute of the game; would that have changed anything about Quinn’s (or Edwards’) performance? I certainly don’t think so.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 10:20 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don’t have a problem with having a “feeling” that someone is better. That there is something intangible or unqualitative to judging sports, and especially football and QBs. But the problem is using asinine stats. This argument has not been over using numbers versus no numbers, its over using Wins as a number that means anything at all for an individual player in a game that involves dozens of players. Wins means everything for evaluating a team over time, but it doesn’t mean much when evaluating one player.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 10:06 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I would point out that the lack of interceptions in both BQ starts is HUGE. People generally underestimate the value of protecting the ball. You give your team a much better chance of winning if you simply don’t cough up the ball. I would have thought this group could see this after enduring DA’s performances. BQ had his team in position to win both games without painting statistical masterpieces. He simply refused to act stupidly. He fired the ball into the ground on many occasions instead of trying to force something to happen.

by elsandito on Nov 20, 2008 4:55 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Part of this goes without saying. It certainly was very important that Brady has gone something like 60 passes in two starts without an INT. Besides the one that was reversed on the replay, its not like he is throwing a bunch into the hands of defenders either. Certianly no inexplicable throws right to the other team that became a hallmark of DA’s 2nd half meltdowns in the past.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 5:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dogg, i don’t know who you view as the best LT of all time…maybe munoz? pace? orlando brown? Per your contention above, I’d be interested in what the winning % is for the 3 best LT’s of all time (in your opinion) vs. the 3 best QB’s.

by DontCallMeJoey on Nov 20, 2008 6:54 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I am a little confused with your argument, but if you are arguing that a LT impacts a football game more than a QB, you are delirious.

by rufio on Nov 20, 2008 11:30 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’m not necessarily saying that LT impacts a game more than a QB. I am saying the difference is not as vast as a casual football fan might think in passing. The LT has more to do physically than a QB. He certainly doesn’t have to make as many strategic and careful reads as a QB. However, he is active in more plays.

I also stressed the specifics of the situation. If you have 2 average QBs, the value of each is lowered. If you have 2 ok LTs, the value of each is lowered. But if you have one great LT and one terrible LT (the Browns) or one great QB and one terrible QB (the Colts) I think the scales begin to tip. I’ve never been a fan of VORP as a concept because the “replacement player” is a non-reality. It doesn’t matter what a theoretical replacement player can do. It does matter what the back-up on your specific team can do. And when there isn’t that big of a difference between your #1 and #2 at a given position, losing your #1 isn’t going to hurt as much.

I’m more stressing the overrating of the QB position and specifically the ridiculousness of considering W-L record when evaluating that position.

by DaytonDogg on Nov 20, 2008 11:59 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think VORP matters in judging the worth of a player vs. “the rest of the league” and deciding things like whether to draft another guy at his position or whether to spend on a FA at his position.

But as you mention, when deciding who to play on a given night (Quinn vs Anderson) the value over league average doesn’t mean squat. If JT goes down, we are screwed, if Quinn’s finger is a problem, we go to DA. VORP on team.

I just think that what a QB does or doesn’t do can have a big impact on the outcome of a game. In football %s of who is responsible for a win or any of that is significantly less than scientific, but the QB touches the ball every play; he is important. He can turn the ball over and he can score by running or throwing. He can be directly responsible for points his team scores, and indirectly responsible for points the other team scores. LTs are indirectly responsible for every point their teams score, and if they are responsible for points other teams score, it is more indirectly (less directly) than the QB.

Arguing that a QB has 100% influence on his team winning is ridiculous, but equally ridiculous is arguing that the QB does not have the largest influence on the outcome of football games in general. Obviously, there are exceptions, but throughout time, QBs have more to do with W-L than any other position.

Regardless of actual physical impact on the game, they have a large symbolic impact as well.

If Quinn=Win, I don’t care where the causality is. If the Browns won every time Madden was announcing the game, I would pray he announced every time.

by rufio on Nov 21, 2008 12:53 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’m a Niners fan (second to the Browns, of course) and I will take Young or Montana over Marino any day.

by rufio on Nov 20, 2008 11:29 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Couple of things, Browns need to pick up blitzes better, and there “D” needs to stop people.This will give Quinn a better opportunity to be a quality QB

"Have You heard of the Boom on Mizar 5?"

by Grockcubs on Nov 18, 2008 9:15 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don’t see any sample size problems here. These stats are pretty meaningful.

by joeee on Nov 18, 2008 10:03 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’m averaging one reply per posts you make in this thread.

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Nov 18, 2008 10:55 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

This also largely ignores the quality of competition. Didn’t Matt Ryan’s first two or three games come against Kansas City and Detroit?

by Roger Dorn on Nov 19, 2008 7:53 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, I don’t really understand the point of this post.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 11:30 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the point is we’re supposed to vote on who will be the best QB in 10 years, (or approximately 160 games, give or take a playoff appearance) based only on the first 2 games that each of these QBs played.

I thought it was pretty obvious, Brad.

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Nov 19, 2008 12:18 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Uhh, yeah, but the fact is that forcasting any player’s career by looking at stats from TWO games is ridiculous. That’s the point joeeeee was trying to make.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 12:41 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I know it’s sometimes difficult on Al Gore’s interwebtoobz, but i thought you would know who to pick up on sarcasm from. < /whispering >

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Nov 19, 2008 2:23 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, I guess I should have picked up on that. We need to be able to add, like, voice inflections or something to our posts so people can tell when we’re being sarcastic.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 19, 2008 2:33 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

you enjoy bustin chops on these things don’t you buckeye?

by dawginphilly on Nov 19, 2008 4:47 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You should just act like you are pushing their joke further and that THEY are the ones who don’t get it.

I’d back you up.

by rufio on Nov 20, 2008 12:28 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Alright, I’ll remember that next time.

The best thing probably is to hit [Grady] 2nd -- Jay

by Buckeye Brad on Nov 20, 2008 7:23 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Russell is going to be a bust. Can you say Vince Young?

by craig19 on Nov 21, 2008 5:02 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

At least VY can still run. Russell just sucks (although he doesn’t have a chance at being decent because he plays for Oakland). I am happy we weren’t in position to draft him.

by rufio on Nov 21, 2008 6:02 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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