Lewin Career Forecast

Since nobody around here cares to debate about the QB prospects in Thursday's draft, I thought I'd throw this one out there and reserve my comments until people have posted.

Fun Fact! David Lewin is not a middle-aged systems analyst burnout. He can't yet drink legally, yet currently does stats work for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

about 2 years ago rolub 7 comments 0 recs |

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Comments

Interesting.

I find it odd that the two most important factors to him are completion percentage and starts. Looking back at his 2008 list, I am far from sold on his method.

by Bernie19Kosar on Apr 20, 2010 6:13 PM EDT reply actions

Completion Percentage (Accuracy) and starts (experience) make enough logical sense on face-value.

by gahnki on Apr 20, 2010 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions

But those being his only two factors are puzzling to me.

Wouldn’t these two measurements make Ken Dorsey & Carson Palmer a similar correlation?

Palmer: 45 games and 59.1 Comp
Dorsey: 41 games and 57.9 Comp

I don’t have a problem using these two stats, I have a problem using only these two stats.

by Bernie19Kosar on Apr 20, 2010 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions

I think this metric—like many others—is helpful as a guide but requires being paired with a good combination of scouting and luck in order to accurately predict anything.

"Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital." - Aaron Levenstein

by rufio on Apr 21, 2010 2:55 AM EDT up reply actions