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One Website's Uplifting Preview of the AFC North....and My Predictions...

Give this one a read......

http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2010NFL_AFCNorthPreview

 

I consider myself to be a realistic fan, able to remove myself emotionally when seriously analyzing the schedule, roster and our chances

I've said over and over that 6-10 is probable, 7-9 would be a pleasant surprise and I would be overjoyed with 8-8.  Outside of the first two games, the schedule is brutal.  But come on - really?  1-15?  The computer these guys use spits out 1-15?  What is it a Commodore 64? A 286?

 

I see it this way;

The first two games are very winnable.  I was originally a little bummed when I saw that we didn't open at home for the first time since '99, since the opener is my favorite game to attend.  Starting with a clean slate, the festive mood in the Muni Lot, the pageantry, the fly over - and best of all - no sour mood from last weeks loss.

After giving it some thought though (Ok, seeing the Buck's on the schedule didn't hurt) I started to think that a week one road win could translate into an even better opener.  One with the very real prospect of going 2-0!  So, lets for the sake of argument against the folks at Whatifsports.com, assume that we are 2-0 after two.

Game 3 - A road loss to the best team in the division, as much as it pains me to say.  I really can't decide whether I hate the Ravens or Steelers more.

2-1.

Game 4 - Home against the Bengals.  I always like to start out the year believing we can split the division games.  This year the only exception is Baltimore.  I see the "Division Champions" more as the team that showed it's true colors by stumbling into the playoffs last year.  Browns win,  fan enthusiasm erases memories of LeQuit.

3-1

Game 5 - Home Vs. Atlanta.  I really don't know what to make of this one, but I lean toward thinking we get torched by Matt Ryan and Roddy White, Turner & Norwood combine for 150 yds.  First home loss.

3-2

Game 6 - Browns take advantage of a rusty Big Ben, in his second game back from suspension (early, of course) and get their first win in Pittsburgh since '03.

4-2

Game 7 - If anybody would like to provide an argument for why the Browns would beat the Super Bowl Champs, on their own turf, I'd love to hear it.  Saints roll.

4-3

Game 8 - After a mid season bye - in my opinion the best time - Could the Browns fans finally get revenge on Belichick for jettisoning the home town hero so many years ago?  For becoming a Super Bowl winning genius AFTER leaving town?  In a word, no.

4-4

Game 9 - At home Vs. The Jets.  The Browns prove two things to the Jets - our passing on Sanchez was not a mistake and their letting Thomas Jones go was. Oh - three things - Braylon still sucks.  8 linebacker formation confuses Sanchez into crying in the fetal position.  Our Ryan beats the Jets Ryan at his own game.

5-4

Game 10 - At Jacksonville Jaguars.  I just don't see how this team is much better than the one that gave up in the last game of the season last year.  It was good of DelRio to call out his QB's abilities (or lack thereof) in the offseason.  Too bad the team didn't address the issue.  Browns win.

6-4

Game 11 -  Vs. Carolina in Cleveland.  Can Jake Delhomme prove his former employer wrong?  That's not even the important question in this game.  What we really want to know is can the revamped Browns defense stop this two headed running attack?  I'm torn on this one and really think it could go either way.  By this point in the season we'll know if Fujita, Gokong, Roth, Ward, Asante, Haden and the gang have truly made a difference in the perennial bottom of the league ranked run defense.  Just because of all the unknowns I'm going Carolina.

6-5

Game 12 - At Miami Dolphins.  Instead of "my Dad can beat up your Dad" this could be a case of "my Wildcat can beat your Wildcat".  Actually, I look for Miami to move away from the Wildcat as a staple and run more of a traditional offense with Chad Henne at the helm.  Ricky is beyond old in NFL running back years and annual injuries have to be catching up with Ronnie Brown.  Brown eek out a surprise road win.

7-5

Game 13 - At Buffalo.  How is it that we are lucky enough to draw this team almost every year?  Stil no QB and the Bills - with an already strong running back corps (albeit with a knucklehead in Lynch) draft C.J. Spiller?  To top it off the team is switching to a 3-4 defense.  In my recollection no team has made a seamless transition from 4-3 to 3-4, and the personnel transition usually takes a couple of seasons.  Browns cruise - for a change.

8-5, and it's all downhill from here.....

Game 14 - At Cincy.  I think the Bengals pull a reverse of last year and get cohesive toward the end of the season - too little too late, they beat the Browns at home.  This keeps their Wild-Card hopes alive, only to be dashed by season ending losses to the Chargers and Ravens.

8-6

Game 15 - The Ravens come to town, leading the division and tuning up for a deep playoff run.  As I said, this is the team that is in my opinion likely the division champ and an unlikely hope for a Browns split.  Two division games to end the season and distance themselves from the pack, they crush the Browns, then the Bengals in week 16.

 

8-7

Game 16 - After a demoralizing blowout in week 15 to the Ravens, the Browns have a hard time getting up for this game.  I'd like to believe that the Steelers on the downslide, but as I said - I hope to split within the division and I have the Browns winning in Pittsburgh week 6.  I also think this game may have Wild-card implications for the Steelers.  Hopefully - it may even mathematically have some sort of hope for the Browns reaching the playoffs.  But, in the end I just can't see sweeping the season series with Pittsburgh.....this year.

 

8-8

That's my best case, most optomistic scenario for the season.  Some of it just Butch Davis style "gut feeling", a lot is just blatant guessing.  It could certainly be a lot worse.....but probably not Whatifsports.com 1-15 bad!

Anybody care to offer thier opinions - or refute mine?

This is a fan-created post. Dawgs By Nature assumes no responsibility for the content listed.

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Beat the House: WR Edition

Mar 2010 by Bernie19Kosar - 36 comments

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i have an argument for game 7. we always win one game we are not supposed to win against a top tier team. unfortunately we also lose a game that we are supposed to win. so count one of the first two games as a loss and we’re back at 8-8 again. woot.

we don't need no stinking logo

by NoLogos4Life on Jul 22, 2010 1:08 PM EDT reply actions  

Yup

I seriously considered the New England game as the “one odd win” per season and the K.C. game as the one “we should win and blow”. We’re on the same page – but as it’s been pointed out – training camp is just starting and it’s wayyyyy early!

What does that MEAN - TO PLAY US OUT?!!?!?

by DaveDawg09 on Jul 22, 2010 8:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve had the Jags Jets games switched, the Dolphins game a loss and us getting swept by the Steelers (maybe winning against them at the end of the season).

Either way, it’s way to early for me to even begin to feel comfortable enough to speculate what we might be able to do this year. I think if Delhomme is a servicable QB (no throw your remote at the TV games) and the running game bears any similarity to end of last season, we still have to wonder what the defense can or can’t do this season.

They gone have to stop sleeping on me one day.. I gotta be one of the best

About 3 hours ago by Eric Wright Cleveland Browns – Cornerback

I understand, as a big daddy come and take my spot type of demeanor?

by mooncamping on May 14, 2010 7:24 AM EDT

by Villeslgr on Jul 22, 2010 2:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Believe me -

A lot of these games I felt could go either way. The sub-plots in the New England game alone deserve their own TV mini series. I tried to be semi-optimistic without being too much of a “homer”!

What does that MEAN - TO PLAY US OUT?!!?!?

by DaveDawg09 on Jul 22, 2010 7:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ll say this… No sensible person in Cincy ever sleeps on the Browns. Every year, no matter the records, those are tough games. Do you know your defense had the 2nd most QB-Hurries-per-Pass-Play league wide? Ranked 7th in Sacks-per-Pass-Play, as well. While the dismal perception of the Browns persists, your team could be in a lot of close games with a little improvement along the lines and some rookie contributions.

MwWsA

by raclark11986 on Jul 22, 2010 6:28 PM EDT reply actions  

I've got family in Cincy

We played golf last year on Memorial Day weekend and I was introduced to the foursome as “Uncle Dave From Cleveland”. First words out of one guys mouth (with outstretched hand) “Oh – Who Dey?” I responded – “really – you want bragging rights between these two teams? – Be my guest.” Had a great time, and you guys definitely earned the bragging rights….last year. May the best team win – and good luck!

What does that MEAN - TO PLAY US OUT?!!?!?

by DaveDawg09 on Jul 22, 2010 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

wow…thank you. I am not saying this to doubt your stats but where did you get them? they seem really good. I knew we got a lot of sacks, but our pass D was still terrible…hopefully we worked to fix it.

I teach good life choices. That’s why I almost didn’t graduate High School.

by bross09 on Jul 23, 2010 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well... I run stats.

Every year I add a new facet to the statbook, this year its Hurries-per-Pass-Play, Sacks-per-Pass-Play, TFL-per-Snap-from-Scrimmage (Browns 29th), Passes-Defensed-per-Pass-Attempt (Browns 17th), and then (offensively) Hurries-given-up-per-Pass-Play (13th fewest), Sacks-given-up-per-Pass-Play (18th), TFL-given-up-per-Play-from-Scrimmage (12th), Passes-Defensed-by-Opponents-per-Pass-Attempt (24th). So it looks like your downfall last year was getting no penetration against the run, not defending passes, and (offensively) terrible QB play. I’d be most concerned about your Linebackers, that’s where an improvement seems least likely.

MwWsA

by raclark11986 on Jul 23, 2010 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Our defense doesn’t really try to “penetrate” versus the run on most downs, quite intentionally.

"Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital." - Aaron Levenstein

by rufio on Jul 26, 2010 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I really don’t think you will beat the Dolphins. And that’s a lot of upsets to pick, just be aware that upsets happen both ways.

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 22, 2010 10:45 PM EDT reply actions  

I really don’t think you will beat the Dolphins.

I like how you say “you” instead of “we,” further alienating yourself from having an allegiance to the Browns.

Dawgs By Nature - Covering the Cleveland Browns on SB Nation.

by Chris Pokorny on Jul 23, 2010 8:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

he is very confused…

I teach good life choices. That’s why I almost didn’t graduate High School.

by bross09 on Jul 23, 2010 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

What would you prefer me to say?

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 24, 2010 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I really don’t think the Browns will beat the Dolphins.

Dawgs By Nature -- where Hitler, apparently, 'did some good things'.

by golanbatrac on Jul 24, 2010 7:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ok.

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 26, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Go root for Buffalo.

For the love of Joe Thomas.....

by North Coast Flea on Jul 23, 2010 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

or denver?

I hate the steelers the way a mother loves a child.

by notthatnoise on Jul 23, 2010 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

Or Carolina.

For the love of Joe Thomas.....

by North Coast Flea on Jul 23, 2010 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Steelers have enough bandwagon fans as is.

by Bernie19Kosar on Aug 9, 2010 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think I’ll just root for the Browns. Thanks for the offer though.

A lot of people are afraid of heights. Not me, I'm afraid of widths --- Steven Wright

by Kimble_79 on Aug 10, 2010 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

This is so uplifting it’s sad.

by skipkirk on Jul 23, 2010 8:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Game 7 – If anybody would like to provide an argument for why the Browns would beat the Super Bowl Champs, on their own turf, I’d love to hear it. Saints roll.

How soon we forget. Drew Brees is on the cover of Madden 11. If he isn’t hurt and sidelined by then, I’ll eat my steel toed boots. Remember, everyone (save Fitzgerald) who’s been on the cover of Madden has been seriously hurt for the season, and their team has suffered for it and missed the playoffs (save the Seahawks in 07).

Who’s their back-up, Mark Brunell? If Brees is out, I think we have more than ‘just a shot’ to win it.

by BrownDawg1409 on Jul 23, 2010 10:59 PM EDT reply actions  

I would only add that the “lucky” reason the browns draw the bills every year is that neither team can seem to avoid finishing last in their division, thus setting up a match-up every year.

by josephb on Jul 24, 2010 8:56 AM EDT reply actions  

1-15 is a joke of a prediction. We are very close to being a solid team. Kudos to the Show for significant improvement in the DB, RB, TE and possibly LB. Could be the first signs of depth since the return. I agree exactly with your statement that I am expecting 6-10 with a significantly better product than the 5-11 of last year. More depth, more watchability a great start for the new regime.

Still, we have to face 2 important facts. Our QB is in the bottom 4-5 starters in the league, and that assumes he improves. The WRs are within the bottom 2-3 groups in the league. So we have to run the football, and the QB has to manage the game and we have a shot to beat the 6-10.

by realmccoy on Jul 26, 2010 12:20 PM EDT reply actions  

I think they’ll go 3-3 in the division. I think they’ll lose both games to Baltimore, split with the Bengals, and win both against Pittsburgh! IMO and a few others, the Squeelers are backsliding a bit. With Santonio Holmes gone and Big Barf suspended for 6 games, the Browns will take advantage. Pitt’s D will play better with Palomalu back, but I don’t see much out of the offense. When Big Barf comes back from suspension, I see the offense taking a while to gel if they do at all. Their OL is still a bit weak and Rapelisburger will need time to sync with his receivers.

Colt McCoy... the cure for Cleveland's Eric Berry man-crush.

by dawgtribe on Aug 2, 2010 11:34 AM EDT reply actions  

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