Rule of 26-27-60 as a tool to determine QB success rate?

by BrownDawg1409 on Jul 8, 2010 8:29 PM EDT Comment 26 comments

SI's John Lopez elaborates on a quick guide to predicting if a QB will be a success in the NFL after time in college, though not nearly as beautiful and factful as BK19's article on the subject.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/john_lopez/07/08/qb.rule/index.html?eref=nflg (I still don't know how to do that elaborate link title. :/ )

After reading this, I have to admit to feeling much better about McCoy's chances. After being thouroughly convinced (through aforementioned article) that McCoy's chances of being a quality starter were, at best, minimum. Yes, there are exceptions to every thoery and law, but it didn't seem likely.

However, after reading this article, I feel validated in my previous feelings that we may have found an eventual starter in McCoy as I'm sure that others might after reading it. I'm still for bringing him along slowly, but I'd like to see him get his chance in a year or two as an unquestioned starter.

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we here at BGN were saying the same things about kolb with the same link

best of luck to u guys, since lebron left everyone’s gonna be looking towards ur browns, or the nearest bridge

Where one era ends, another begins

by BadCo'09 on Jul 8, 2010 11:35 PM EDT reply actions

This story says Dante is a bust?

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 9, 2010 4:37 PM EDT reply actions

Dante’s a scrub.

They gone have to stop sleeping on me one day.. I gotta be one of the best

About 3 hours ago by Eric Wright Cleveland Browns – Cornerback

I understand, as a big daddy come and take my spot type of demeanor?

by mooncamping on May 14, 2010 7:24 AM EDT

by Villeslgr on Jul 9, 2010 8:22 PM EDT up reply actions

Dante had some good years in Minnesota

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 9, 2010 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions

They gone have to stop sleeping on me one day.. I gotta be one of the best

About 3 hours ago by Eric Wright Cleveland Browns – Cornerback

I understand, as a big daddy come and take my spot type of demeanor?

by mooncamping on May 14, 2010 7:24 AM EDT

by Villeslgr on Jul 10, 2010 1:01 AM EDT up reply actions

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 10, 2010 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions

It’s from a skit on De La Soul’s first album. Dante Ross, he’s a guy who worked A&R for a lot of hip hop acts for Tommy Boy.

They gone have to stop sleeping on me one day.. I gotta be one of the best

About 3 hours ago by Eric Wright Cleveland Browns – Cornerback

I understand, as a big daddy come and take my spot type of demeanor?

by mooncamping on May 14, 2010 7:24 AM EDT

by Villeslgr on Jul 11, 2010 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions

I have seen every Colt McCoy snap at the University of Texas – twice. The character, work ethic, competitiveness, and accuracy are just flat off the charts. In addition, he has nice athleticism. Faster and Quicker that Tebow, better throwing motion – but nowhere near the Vick, Cunningham kind of athleticism. He reminds me of another Texan – Drew Brees. My only concern for Colt, and it is a big one, is his arm strength. Can he throw the out with zip? What makes me feel pretty good is the Holmgren would know if his arm was adequate or not. Wouldn’t he?

by realmccoy on Jul 9, 2010 10:13 PM EDT reply actions

I think that Colt has enough ‘zip’ to get the job done. He might not have a cannon arm like Anderson did, but he should be able to get the job done quite nicely. This is especially true if he’s able to bulk up a little now that he’s in the pros. Maybe Quinn can lend him some of that EAS stuff. :)

by BrownDawg1409 on Jul 10, 2010 12:23 AM EDT up reply actions

EAS is cursed. Matt hasselbeck and brady always get hurt

"Young men, I have no doubt that you're gonna do well today. But I have 1 favor to ask of you... SAVE JIMMY JOHNSON'S ASS FOR ME!" Lou Holtz

by TheRealSlimShady on Jul 10, 2010 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions

Point taken. Let’s hope Cribbs never ends up on the cover of Madden.

by BrownDawg1409 on Jul 10, 2010 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions

He might not have a loose cannon arm like Anderson did,

Fixed.

by JustBob on Jul 10, 2010 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs

Heh. Nicely done.

by RelapsingDawgCatcher on Jul 11, 2010 3:01 AM EDT up reply actions

McCoy IS the real McCoy!

McCoy will win games. The knuckle dragging drag queens from the rest of the NFL leaving him until 64th pick will soon be eating crow, probable by choice if their taste buds are as bad as their scouting ability. He won at a record level in college and will continue to do so in the pros. He is a Fran Tarkenton type of quarterback that just won’t allow the game to get away from him and will scramble, run, pass, and kick ass…and hopefully won’t do infomercials, like Fran, after he retires from what should be at least an equally elustrious career in the pros. I saw his interview with John Gruden and Gruden is a chump who would be coaching IF he wasn’t such an a-hole. McCoy can deliver, Cleveland just has to give him the chance [protection] and someone with talent in the receiving corps.
Good luck Cleveland I honestly think you guys deserve some.

by JTex67 on Jul 17, 2010 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions

All of the “formulas” for trying to predict QB success in the NFL are ok, but none of them have hit the home run and none of them ever will.

I love that Colt is accurate. I think accuracy is very underrated. I like that he has some athleticism. He isn’t going to Vick anyone, but he can run like Cutlet or Quinn; enough to be not totally useless as a WR in the wildcat and scamper for yards here and there. I like that he seems to have studied NFL QBs like Drew Brees. He seemed hungry and eager to work in Gruden’s special. I think his arm is strong enough. He didn’t throw deep that often at Texas, but he wasn’t really asked to throw deep all that often. I do worry a little about his accuracy when he has to throw mid-range routes and he has to throw before the WR’s break. This can certainly be improved.

None of this means he will succeed for us.

"Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital." - Aaron Levenstein

by rufio on Jul 11, 2010 1:58 PM EDT reply actions

All of the "formulas" for trying to predict QB success in the NFL are ok, but none of them have hit the home run and none of them ever will.

true.

but making this even worse is it’s a pretty blatant ripoff of David Lewin’s Career Forecast formula, but throwing in the Wonderlic for good measure.

You are reading my signature.

by rolub on Jul 12, 2010 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions

I like that during his most accurate college season he still had over 9 YPA.

I hate the steelers the way a mother loves a child.

by notthatnoise on Jul 12, 2010 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions

Great numbers, for sure.

"Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital." - Aaron Levenstein

by rufio on Jul 12, 2010 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions

Here’s your homerun:

Of the quarterbacks available in any draft, the one or two who spend a significant portion of their careers behind quality offensive lines will be more successful than those who don’t.

Dawgs By Nature -- where Hitler, apparently, 'did some good things'.

by golanbatrac on Jul 16, 2010 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions