Fantasy Football Open Thread: Ask Anything You Want!

If Favre is there in the 3rd, I’d take him. The man is a machine. I’d also take Jake D in the 7th. Just got a feeling about his numbers this year.

What do you guys think about Jerome Harrison as a 3rd RB? Specifically in a PPR league… I’m really excited about him. I noticed last year he was just a 100 yard game away from being a 1,000 yard rusher, and he started what? Half of the games?

I’m expecting some big things from him. Am I being a little over-optimistic?

So who is everyone’s choice for the #1 pick — Chris Johnson or Adrian Peterson? And who is the top QB — Brees, Manning, or Rodgers?

i’ve done plenty of online fantasy football leagues, but i’ve always done autopick instead of live draft, which i’ll be trying this year. any drafting tips?

Came on here to see what you guys thought of Hardesty for ffb. I still think i’ll take as my 4th back if available. Anyway I was wondering who to choose from between Calvin Johnson or Brandon Marshall if that scenario is there in the late 2nd.

Miles Austin – legit number 1 WR?

Marshall’s presence opens up even more opportunities for the Dolphins to run the ball. Also, I think the Lions will be coming from behind more often than not. Megatron would be my pick. (Between these two guys.

Good analysis. I just question CJ’s durabillity and I think Henne has a good arm and a good line. maybe I’ll take both (cj first).

There’s a lot of talk and debate going on about the first round strategy and whatnot. I just want to state, in my opinion, there is a list of guys that are absolute MUST draft players, if available. That list is as follows: Adrian Peterson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Chris Johnson, and Ray Rice.

I think passing on any of them guys if available, is probably the worst move you’ll make all season.

Sure, you never know when it comes to things like this, heck anyone of those guys could break a major bone in week 1 (i.e. Tom Brady 2008), but with every pick there is a certain amount of risk/reward. With the 4 guys mentioned above, the risk is so low and the potential reward is so high, that not to take them, if you get the shot, would be just a terrible move.

My personal strategy is to draft as many top RBs/WRs available and let QBs and TEs drop to me. It is also very important to be mindful of the bye weeks. By concentrating on just WR/RBs to start, your core team will be solid and can handle a big name going down. I try to get 2-3 middle of the pack QBs for cheap and play the matchup game. (Palmer, Young, and A.Smith can be usually had for cheap w/ amazing upside) Gonzo and Witten can be had later than Clark, Davis and Gates for about the same return. Also for DST I have been trying to wait till my last pick and get CLE … woohoo…my reasoning being they have a great 1st 2 weeks..then I can pick up a DST that has proven themselves to start the season instead of guessing who’s going to be good or over reaching based on projections..as far as kicker (who cares) I use my second last pick on the best kicker with a late bye so I can switch out later for a kicker who’s looking good who and has already passed their bye.

I forgot to add that as far as K and DST go I rarely get backups that way your stable available at other positions is deeper.

I’m picking 5th in a 12 team draft and already am questioning what my strategy should be. The conventional RB/RB in the first two rounds just doesn’t look too appealing – especially in the latter 1/2 of the second round. I’m seriously considering WR/RB – if others do the same and serviceable RB’s fall – or even WR/WR and taking my chances with all the RBBC’s out there. Here’s my arguments, I’d love to hear some feedback and opinions.

Looking at the early rankings for this season, I can’t help but feel that after the top 4 RB’s the rest are JAG’s (just a guy, if you don’t speak scout).

My top 4
CJ
A. Peterson
MJD
Ray Rice

M. Turner is my 4a depending on what happens in the top 4 leading up to the season and he’s teetering due to coming off of injury and splitting time with Norwood.

The rest of the top ten RB’s and my reasons for not being sold on their 1st round value;

Frank Gore – getting old and has serious injury history – since college.

Steven Jackson – again, getting old, injury history and will likely be keyed on by Defenses when the rookie QB takes the helm. I’m guessing week 5 against Detroit.

Ryan Mathews – Sorry, I have a hard time spending my first pick on just about any Rookie.

And the last two, depending on who’s rankings you’re looking at could be any of these 4;

Shonn Greene – Still has to prove he can be a #1 guy, likely to share carries, runs very upright – injury risk.

Joseph Addai – Passing Offense, always was and will be, as long as Peyton says so.

Cedric Benson – He’s never put together 2 good years in his career.

DeAngelo Williams – Some injury history, likely to split a lot of carries, QBs are young and younger.

By my estimation, after that top 10 you have 11 or 12 viable starting RB’s for a total of 21 or 22.

So, if you are picking outside of he fourth or maybe the fifth spot in the first round – what do you do?
Look at the top ten WR’s? In my opinion – you’d better – because there are just as many question marks in that group as there are in the RB’s.

Now, looking at the top of the WR class, you have maybe 6 “can’t miss” guys;

Andre Johnson
Randy Moss
Reggie Wayne
Miles Austin
Marques Colston
Greg Jennings

And, you have 4 guys that should be can’t miss but have some interesting “if’s” surrounding them;

Larry Fitzgerald – Who is throwing him the ball? I have to believe this Offense will be a much more balanced attack than in years past.

Brandon Marshall – Again, who is throwing the football? Chad Henne? Look at his stats with Kyle Orton vs. Jay Cutler. What other WR is going to keep every Defense from rolling all coverage his way?

The last two of the top 10 could be any one of these 4, again depending on the list;

Wes Welker – Big injury last year. Not big on two WR’s from the Pats in my top 10.

DeSean Jackson – Will Kolb pan out?

Steve Smith – Getting “long in the tooth”, QB questions, strong running game in Carolina.

Anquan Boldin – Can he be a true #1 WR? Defenses won’t be afraid to double him with no other receiving threat.

After the top 10 WR’s there are again maybe 10 guys that are even close to being true “#1’s” on your fantasy roster.

Suppose my theory is correct and there are 4 true stud RB’s and 6 true stud WR’s. Mix in Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers going in the first couple of rounds and you are talking a total of 13 big time, can’t miss, stud players. Everything after them is relatively interchangeable.

Last year the top 10 RB’s scored more points overall than the top 10 WR’s in every case.. – by quite a wide margin. This would lead you to believe that RB is still the more valuable position. That is, until you set your weekly roster with two stud RB’s and realize that your #2 and #3 WR might combine for 6 points…..