Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Indy 500: Coverage of the 'Greatest Spectacle In Racing'

NFL Week 17 - Which Games Have Playoff or Draft Implications?

The Cleveland Browns don't have anything to play for in terms of reaching the playoffs in Week 17, but a loss could help improve the team's draft position come April. Depending on the outcome of a few other games too, the Browns could end up with anywhere as high as the No. 3 overall pick or as low as the No. 8 overall pick. If you're unaware of the scenarios for all of the games in Week 17, I have grouped them into categories with a brief explanation for each game.

Star-divide

BROWNS DRAFT POSITION

  • Chicago vs. Minnesota: With a 3-12 record, a victory by the Vikings to close out the season could put them in a tie with Cleveland and a chance for our draft position to improve. The Bears have been struggling offensively for weeks now, so it wouldn't be surprising to see the Vikings pull out a victory here.
  • Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville: The Colts are definitely going to finish ahead of the Browns, and they've won two straight games. Whether they get the first overall pick, or whether the Rams get it, could make a difference in case an Andrew Luck trade scenario comes up for Cleveland. If Jacksonville (4-11) wins and the Browns lose, Jacksonville would be guaranteed to draft after Cleveland.
  • Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta: The Buccaneers hold a 4-11 record and the Falcons still have a chance to move up to the fifth seed in the NFC. If the Buccaneers, who have played terrible lately, can pull out a victory, that is good for the Browns.
  • Washington vs. Philadelphia: The Redskins, with a 5-10 record, can win to ensure they don't finish with the same record as Cleveland (win or loss). The Eagles have nothing to play for, but both teams will probably try to win for NFC East pride.

SIGNIFICANT PLAYOFF IMPLICATIONS

  • Dallas vs. New York Giants: The winner of this game takes the division and is in the playoffs, and the loser is out. You can't ask for a better scenario for the final game of the season if you're a fan on the outside looking in.
  • Kansas City vs. Denver: Denver can make the postseason with a win, or a Raiders loss. Even if the playoffs aren't involved, there is another nice storyline for this game: Kyle Orton faces the team who cut him earlier this season, with a chance to spoil Tim Tebow and the Broncos' playoff hopes.
  • Baltimore vs. Cincinnati: This is a huge game too; almost as important as the Cowboys/Giants game. If the Bengals win, they are in as a wildcard. If Cincinnati wins though and Pittsburgh beats Cleveland, Baltimore becomes a wildcard team instead of having a first-round bye. Ouch. Baltimore definitely wants this game, and I think they are going to win it. That opens the door for the Titans, Jets, or Raiders as a wildcard.

REST OF THE AFC WILDCARD PICTURE, IF CINCINNATI LOSES

If the Bengals lose, which I think they will, there are crazy scenarios that unfold for either the Titans, Jets, or Raiders to make it as a wildcard. First and foremost, it is easy to say that the Jets have the worst chance at making it.

In order for the Jets to make it, they need to win, and they need the Bengals, Titans, and Raiders to all lose. Not a good chance of everything going their way.

In order for the Titans to make it, they need to win, and they need the Bengals to lose. Then, they need one of the following two scenarios to happen:

  1. The Jets beat the Dolphins and the Raiders lose to the Chargers.
  2. The Jets lose to the Dolphins and the Raiders beat the Chargers.

If both the Jets and the Raiders win or lose (assuming a Titans win and a Bengals loss), the Bengals still make it over the Titans. Crazy, eh?

In order for the Raiders to make it (as a wildcard), they need to win, and they need the Bengals to lose. That is it. What the Jets or Titans do is of no interest to them. Remember, even if Cincinnati wins, Oakland can still make it with a win and a Denver loss. In that case, they win the division.

REMAINING GAMES

A couple more loose ends...the 49ers want to beat the Rams to secure a first-round bye...the Saints want to beat the Panthers for the chance at getting a first-round bye if the 49ers lose...the Patriots want to beat the Bills so they can lock up the No. 1 seed in the AFC...the Lions may want to win if they want the fifth seed instead of the sixth seed. Lastly, as we covered already, the Steelers want to win over the Browns for a chance at the second seed in the AFC.

If you want to verify these scenarios, try out ESPN's playoff machine, which I have been doing for the past several weeks now.

Comment 7 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

If Bengals lose, Raiders win, Jets lose, and Titans win, the Raiders are out and the Titans are in (scenario #2 for the Titans). What happens with the Jets/Titans does affect the Raiders wildcard chances.

If both the Jets and the Raiders win or lose (assuming a Titans win and a Bengals loss), the Bengals still make it over the Titans.

Based on ESPN, if both win, the Raiders are in. If both lose, it’s still the Bengals. If both win and Denver loses, the Titans have the wildcard with the Raiders winning the division.

I think this is still a lot more complicated than a few paragraphs can explain. We need some flowcharts.

Even Doug Dieken admits Joe Thomas is the real #73

by Doc's Kid on Dec 31, 2011 10:51 PM EST reply actions  

I was wondering how all those draft scenarios were present, and then I thought, “Oh, wait some of those affect us only if we win.” Sucks that I’m not even having us win as a scenario in my head.

by macdowellm03 on Dec 31, 2011 11:24 PM EST reply actions  

pass the whiskey

Another year, another terrible record. I hold hope that 2012 will be better.

Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos! Follow me on Twitter @TJCAPS.

by TJCAPS on Jan 1, 2012 11:42 AM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

If the Colts get the #1 pick, seems like the price to trade up for Luck is going to be astronical (that is assuming they would even be willing to trade the pick, which I think is questionable).

If the Rams get the #1 pick, anyone have thoughts on how / how much it would affect “the price”, since it seems the Rams are almost certainly going to be entertaining offers for a trade down?

That was my understanding.

by burntorangeandbrown on Jan 1, 2012 11:58 AM EST reply actions  

Also – if the Colts and Rams both win today and the Vikings lose, who gets the #1 pick? (not sure how the strengths of schedule would have them ranked in the end…).

That was my understanding.

by burntorangeandbrown on Jan 1, 2012 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Never mind – just read an article that shows the strength of schedule rankings having the Colts with the weakest of the three, followed by the Rams, then the Vikings (i.e. only the Colts or Rams now have a shot at the #1 pick, and the Colts would win any tie breaking scenario).

That was my understanding.

by burntorangeandbrown on Jan 1, 2012 12:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I do not know what this

astronical
you speak of is. Tell me more.

by themadlibs on Jan 1, 2012 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Non-stop coverage of the team with the best fans in the NFL, the Cleveland Browns.

Community Guidelines
Send us a Scoop

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Cleveland_browns_super_bowl_banner_11217big_small
A new USFL/NFL D League?
000_0505_small
Kardiac Assessment % / @# / !@
Small
Top 5 Bubble Players
Small
All-time NFL mock draft on MtD
Buddhathomas_small
Cleveland Browns 2012 Prediction - A Sailor's Perspective
000_0505_small
Kardiac Assessment % / !^ / !@
Cribbs_small
2012 Rookie Predictions
Nfl_u_okoye_200_small
A look of the 2012 Browns O-line
000_0505_small
Kardiac Assessment % / ( / !@
00000021_small
browns Q for 12 who are they

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Browns Links

Local Media Sources
Official Browns Site
Orange and Brown Report
Cleveland Plain Dealer
Akron Beacon Journal

Browns Communities/Blogs
The Watercooler
Waiting for Next Year
Dawg Scooper
Dawg Talkers
Dawg Bones
The Browns Board

free hit counter javascript


Executive Editor

Dbn_small Chris Pokorny

Minions

Funny-good-times-11_small Bernie19Kosar

Rufiohookgrin01_small rufio

Hadenward-new2_small Jon @ DBN

Moderators

N3tdgy_medium_small Brownie's Year

Polar_cap_of_mars_planet_small notthatnoise