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Fantasy Football Feature – Wk. 14

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It's back! After a three week hiatus, just in time for those last-ditch efforts to make the fantasy playoffs. Welcome to Week 14 of the 2011 NFL season, and the latest edition of the Fantasy Football Feature. If you’re not yet familiar, this is a fantasy football mash-up open thread. Feel free to throw out any sit/start troubles your having, or any other fantasy football related questions, thoughts, ideas you might have.

Working the Wire - Playoff Push Edition:

As the season goes on into the later weeks, the waiver wire gems tend to taper off. But now were just one week away from most leagues' fantasy playoffs. A lot of teams should be looking for the last second move that might just save their hopes for a fantasy post season. Keep in mind, owners vary in every league so some of these guys are going to be harder to grab than others. The UDBNFL waiver wire, for example, is less fierce than it was a few weeks ago, but still rather rough. (*The ownership percentage is going up on these guys every minute, so they are not exact.)

  1. Seattle (DEF-104.00) - Owned in 19% of Yahoo! Leagues - MUST - This Seattle defense has been up and down all season, but they are taking on St. Louis, a team that gives up the fantasy most points to opposing defenses in the league. If the playoffs are on the line, swing for the fences.
  2. Marion Barber (Chi-RB-59.90) - Owned in 36% of Yahoo! Leagues - DEEP - Chicago has some less than ideal matchups coming up, but with Forte and Cutler out, I've got to think there's going to be a ton more of Barber who's hasn't been too shabby anyway.
  3. Malcom Floyd (SD-WR-62.90) - Owned in 40% of Yahoo! Leagues - DEEP - This guy has been a terribly inconsistent fantasy option, but so have a ton of other WRs this season. Desperate times call for desperate measures, and that's the kind of situation that calls for playing Floyd.

Star-divide

Fool’s Gold:

  1. Demaryius Thomas (Den-WR-42.70) - Owned in 5% of Yahoo! Leagues - DEEP - Despite having a huge unexpected 26 point performance last week, I don't think I can buy high into any Denver WR, especially one that isn't even the first target (see Decker, Eric). Lastly, Do you trust Tebow?
  2. Santana Moss (Was-WR-49.20) - Owned in 59% of Yahoo! Leagues - DEEP - I get that a lot of people want to play the matchup here, as Washington is about to take on New England, who gives up the most fantasy points to WRs in the league. I just think that offense is going through Helu.

Injury Concerns:

  • Peyton Hillis - Yeah, he's injured yet again. Right now it's day-to-day, but with a short week and Pittsburgh coming up, I wouldn't count on him.
  • Fred Davis - He's been suspended for the final four games of the season for failing a drug test. For those of us counting on this already mediocre TE, this is bad news a week before playoffs.
  • Jahvid Best - If you were hoping Best would come back around for you eventually, it's time to give up. He's been placed on IR.
  • Miles Austin - Jerry Jones has said that Austin should be "full go" as he returns to practice. This could have a lot of interesting implications regarding Robinson and Bryant.
  • Matt Forte - An MRI has confirmed no damage to his ACL and Lovie Smith does expect him to return this season, but the fantasy might already end by then.
  • Unofficial DBN Fan League Standings:

    Udbnfl-standings-w14_medium

    Unofficial DBN Fan League Pre-Playoffs Storylines:

    It's essentially the playoffs before the the playoffs, here in the Unofficial league. Currently, I'm the only one to have mathematically cliched a playoff spot, though, it's reasonable to assume that RandallPFloyd QB (bross) has as well, barring any single week 350+ point performance. That said, there are still 5 teams competing for the final 2 spots in the playoffs. That last of which is 110lbs Of Kosar (Brownie's Year), who after a very rough 2-5 start, has come on strong. He'll have to win his matchup with with last season's runner-up, WV Brownies (Kimble_79), outscoring him by at least 77.06 and hope that both Y-Town Dawgs (Joey_D) and Brownie the Elf (emily522) lose this week. It's a very long shot, but not impossible. Meanwhile, Colt's Cowboys (brownsboy14) is a lock to get in if he can win this week vs. TXChainsaw Massaquoi (Browns town). Brownie the Elf needs Cowboys, as well as WV to both lose to land a spot. Y-Town can sneak in with a seemingly easy victory and just one of them takes a loss.

    There's still a lot of ways the chips can fall. After the smoke settles early next week, I'll have a playoff preview.

    Good luck in Week 14! Don't forget to set your line ups before kick-off on Thursday!

    *Scores mentioned in the article are based on the Yahoo! Sports default settings, utilized by the Unofficial DBN Fan League.

    FINAL NOTE: Unless I'm forgetting, I still don't think we have an established plan for the final showdown between the three leagues, UDBNFL, Official, and Rebel 3rd. Ideas are still welcome. Hopefully we can get something set in stone before it's too late.

    This is a fan-created post. Dawgs By Nature assumes no responsibility for the content listed.

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    I managed to get a week 14 bye so am considering using my waiver on Barber this week. My RB2 is ryan mathews and Im concerned about him week 15 against baltimore. Barber has seattle so he might be valuable, and a good team I am probably going to face week 15 has forte too so Im thinking I can deny him barber.

    by jonnyphoenix on Dec 7, 2011 12:23 AM EST reply actions  

    A strategy of a true champion.

    I take this optimism shit seriously.

    "Who gives two shits about Matt Roth besides Matt Roth and Matt Roth’s mom?" - LocalMan

    by The Licensed Optimist on Dec 7, 2011 1:44 AM EST up reply actions  

    Yeah I knew that the other playoff teams playing this week would be using their waiver claims too, and the consolation bracket teams dont really do much, so I am right back in the highest waiver claim slot of the remaining playoff teams for next week as well if any other injuries occur.

    by jonnyphoenix on Dec 7, 2011 11:55 AM EST up reply actions  

    In the UDBNFL I have Ryan Mathews and Matt Forte. They did amazing for me up until recently. I grabbed up Barber but I’m not never confident.

    Dawgs By Nature - Where winning, apparently, did some bad things.

    by Simmsinns on Dec 7, 2011 9:26 AM EST up reply actions  

    Absolutely NEED Mathews to continue to show up and be healthy for the rest of the year. I mean, Marion Barber isnt going to be showing me the money.

    I was solidly in 1st all season with one loss and then hit a rough patch with 3 losses towards the end of the season with Mathews getting hurt, Wallace not producing, Vick going down. The thing is, Im happy b/c I didnt panic and do something hasty like drop the defenses I had set up for the playoffs to take chances on flavor of the week waiver wire bums as a knee-jerk reaction. I stuck with them and luckily my guys came through big time last 2 weeks (thank you Ponder and Orlovsky) and I beat 2 of the other highly ranked playoff teams in a row to finish out and sneak back up into the 2nd place bye slot from 5th place.

    Makes you realize that your team will go through several different ‘phases’ as the year progresses, so stick with the guys you have confidence in, even if they’re not producing like they should for the time being, and dont go making hasty trades or taking chances on waiver flyer ‘pickups of the week.’

    by jonnyphoenix on Dec 7, 2011 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

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