The assumption has been that the price is going to be too high for Luck, but I've been thinking and I am not sure that is right. Hear me out. Latest reports are that Luck and Peyton may not want to play together. So Luck (or Peyton I guess) may pull some kind of power play. Now, who was the last guy to pull a power play like this -- it was only the last "can't miss" QB to come out -- Eli Manning (though I'd argue he owed a lot of his can't-missness to his name). The similarities between this year and that year are pretty high.
There were at least two other marquee QBs to be taken in the early first round -- Rivers and Big Ben (with Ben being more highly touted, though he went later) along with a cusp guy, JP Losman, and another guy, Matt Schaub, who fell later than expected. Compare to this year, and you have Barkley, RGIII, Landry and I think a couple other cusp guys.
Now, what did the Giants give up for Eli, the Andrew Luck of 2004? Not a crazy amount. The 4th pick in the draft for Rivers, their 3rd round pick and their 1st and 5th the next year. High yes -- but outrageous? No way.
Assume we pick around 5th or 6th. And assume also that Luck is a little more highly sought-after than Eli (true, but not a ton more). If we gave up our 5th or 6th pick along with our Atlanta pick and a 3rd rounder, that is a way better ransom than what the San Diego got for Eli.
Also, this move makes sense for the Colts. Assuming Peyton has 3 more years in him, why not draft a Barkley with our pick, and have him sit and learn from the master. You then also get a late first rounder to further beef up your roster and a 3rd rounder. You are priming yourself to win now and setting yourself up for the future. I don't think the Colts would rule this out, and I don't think they should. Especially if Luck and Peyton make it known that they'd rather not play together.
Thoughts? I'd do this deal in a heartbeat. We got the picks to pull this off.