Prediction Machine Gives Cleveland Browns a 1% Chance of Winning it All

Each year, PredictionMachine.com plays the 2011 NFL Season 50,000 times before it is actually played (exactly how they do that is beyond me, but whatever). I remember seeing these in the past, and it's always fun to see what they come up with. How did the Cleveland Browns fare in their results?

As it turns out, the Browns have a 1% chance of winning the Super Bowl this year. Awesome, right? To go along with that, we have a 3% chance of making the Super Bowl, and a 12% chance of winning the division.

The website also goes through each game and sees how often a team will win. To my surprise, the website has the Browns coming away with seven wins, predicting the team will finish near the .500 mark.

Cleveland Browns Schedule

Week

Opponent

 Browns Score 

 Opponent Score 

 Win %

1

Bengals

                        21.9

                             15.5

                69.2

2

@ Colts

                        19.7

                             26.4

                31.8

3

Dolphins

                        19.0

                             18.0

                52.6

4

Titans

                        24.4

                             19.0

                64.8

5

Bye

 

 

 

6

@ Raiders

                        22.8

                             24.3

                46.1

7

Seahawks

                        25.0

                             18.7

                67.2

8

@ 49ers

                        20.6

                             21.8

                46.9

9

@ Texans

                        22.3

                             29.1

                32.1

10

Rams

                        23.4

                             19.8

                60.1

11

Jaguars

                        27.1

                             18.5

                73.3

12

@ Bengals

                        19.1

                             17.3

                55.4

13

Ravens

                        18.0

                             20.6

                42.8

14

@ Steelers

                        14.4

                             24.0

                22.0

15

@ Cardinals

                        21.5

                             22.7

                46.8

16

@ Ravens

                        15.7

                             23.1

                28.0

17

Steelers

                        16.2

                             21.1

                35.2

 

Pts/Game 

Pts/Game

 Total Wins

 

 

               20.7

                        21.2

                                7.7

 

 

Which teams will meet in the Super Bowl this year?

The Green Bay Packers repeat as Super Bowl champions, winning it all league-high 13.0% of the time. In the most likely Super Bowl, Green Bay defeats the San Diego Chargers 57.0% of the time and by an average score of 26-23. San Diego, the AFC's top-seed, wins the Super Bowl 10.5% of the time. The Philadelphia Eagles (10.3%), Pittsburgh Steelers (9.7%) and New England Patriots (9.4%) follow the Packers and Chargers in Super Bowl likelihood.

Well, there you have it. Fortunately, the NFL has enough parity to make things unpredictable all season long.

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