FanPost

Draft Profile-Russell Wilson

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via cdn.bleacherreport.net

Measurables

Height 5-11 and 3/8
Weight 201 lbs
40 Yard Dash: 4.55 (2nd fastest in QB behind RG3)
Vertical Jump: 34
Broad Jump: 09'10" (4th best in QB)
20 Yard Shuttle: 4.09 (2nd fastest by .03 seconds in QB)
3-Cone Drill: 6.97
Arm Length 31
Hand Size 10 1/4"

Stats

Russel Wilson completed an eye-popping 72.5% of his passes for 3175 yards, 33 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions. He also ran for 338 yards and six touchdowns and managed to catch 3 passes for 56 yards and a touchdown on trick plays.

He is a former 4th round pick in baseball and a minor league baseball player, but decided too focus on football. In 2011, he transferred from NC State to Wisconsin.

Awards
2008
First freshman to be All-ACC First Team
ACC Rookie of the Year
2009
Set NCAA record for most pass attempts without a interception (389 attempts without a pick.)
2010
Led the ACC in 2010 with 274.1 passing yards per game and total offense with 307.5 yards per game.
2nd Team All-ACC
2011
First Team All-Big Ten in 2011
Griese-Brees Big Ten Quarterback of the Year
MVP of Wisconsin's Big Ten championship win over Michigan State
Third-team All-American
9th in 2011 Heisman voting
Went to the Rose Bowl Highest Passer Rating in NCAA
2nd most YPA
3rd highest completion percentage

Commentary from Brock Huard, who loves Wilson.

Video

Ultimate Russell Wilson Highlights (User doesn't allow you to embed- definitely worth watching)

The Lewin Career Forecast 2012 is a successful quarterback projection system-like all advanced stats/projections it is meant to be used with scouting reports, not instead of them. RG3 and Luck are at the top of the projection. Their top projections ever are RG3 Phillip Rivers, Drew Brees, Colt McCoy, Carson Palmer, Peyton Manning, Andrew Luck, Chad Pennigton, and Brady Quinn. RG3 is #1 because of his stats, otherwise the only busts are McCoy and Quinn and McCoy scouting report didn't match his stats. This is what they say about Russell Wilson.

The Asterisk

Russell Wilson, Wisconsin: 2,650 DYAR

Important stats: 48 games started, 60.7% completion rate, senior passer rating rose 64.1 points.

I would be remiss if I didn't at least mention the ridiculous projection that the Lewin Career Forecast spits out for Russell Wilson. Yes, that projection is even higher than the one for Robert Griffin. No, it doesn't particularly mean that Wilson is a sleeper prospect. There are a few things going on here that the LCF is just not designed to account for.

First and foremost, the change in Wilson's passer rating between his junior and senior years is insane. Remember that earlier I noted that Griffin had a larger senior year passer rating increase than any quarterback in our data set? Well, Wilson's senior year passer rating increase is 40 percent larger than Griffin's. But does it matter when the quarterback is playing in a completely different offense for a completely different school in his last year of college eligibility? At Wisconsin, Wilson got to pick apart defenses that were concentrating on stopping Montee Ball. At North Carolina State, I doubt opponents were quaking in their boots at the thought of Mustafa Greene and Dean Haynes. It goes without saying that there isn't another quarterback in the LCF data set who transferred between his junior and senior years.

There's also the issue of height, another data point where there's nobody in our data set that can be compared to Wilson. At first, it seems strange that LCF doesn't include a variable to discount short quarterbacks, but when you look at the data set that went into creating LCF the reasons are pretty clear. There's no penalty for being 5-foot-11, like Wilson is, because there are no quarterbacks in the data set who are shorter than 6-foot-0. There's no penalty for being only 6-foot-0 because the two quarterbacks who are 6-foot-0 are Drew Brees and Michael Vick.

Quarterbacks who are Wilson's height simply don't get drafted in the first three rounds of the draft, period. The FO master database only includes three quarterbacks who are below six feet tall: Seneca Wallace, Joe Hamilton, and Flutie. That's a fourth-round pick, a seventh-round pick, and an 11th round pick from 25 years ago. Even if we go all the way back to 1991, the only quarterbacks taken in the first six rounds at 6-foot-0 or shorter were Vick, Brees, Wallace, Joe Germaine (fourth round, 1999), and Troy Smith (fifth round, 2007).

Wilson too will probably be drafted on the third day of the draft, round four or later, which would render his absurdly high LCF moot.

Here is what the scouts are saying about him.

From Rob Rang CBS Sports:

Accuracy: Was the nation's most efficient quarterback in 2011, earning a 191.78 QB rating -- over 22 points higher than the next highest rated QB from a pro-style offense (Andrew Luck) … Showcased the ability to consistently throw receivers open versus single coverage as a senior, demonstrating impressive improvement in this area from his time at NC State … Delivers a tight spiral that is easily tracked and caught. Typically hits his receivers in stride whether on zipped crossing routes, touch passes dropped over the top of defenders or line drives leading receivers out of bounds on the deep out.

Arm Strength: Arguably Wilson's most impressive trait, especially considering his lack of ideal size. Can easily make every NFL throw, showing the ability to drive the football to the sideline on a line from the opposite hash. Can send the ball 40-50 yards downfield with a flick of his wrist.

Setup/Release: Efficient set-up and delivery of the ball. Experienced taking snaps from under center and shotgun. Drops back quickly and shows good rhythm and timing despite limited experience playing with Wisconsin's receivers, planting his back foot and driving the quick slant. Has a quick, over the top release and does an excellent job of finding clear passing lanes from which to throw.

Reading Defenses: Cerebral quarterback who is rarely fooled by coverage. Makes strong pre-snap reads and demonstrated improvement as a senior in manipulating the defense with his eyes and legs. Shows good poise in a muddy pocket, stepping up to avoid the rush and challenging linebackers to either commit to stopping him from scrambling or dropping off to cover receivers behind them. Is more than willing to scramble but does a nice job of keeping his eyes downfield until the last possible second.

On The Move: Very good elusiveness and speed for the position but his most impressive trait may be his vision. Anticipates pressure well and does a nice job of forcing the defense to commit and taking advantage of the weakness exposed once they do. Very good mobility for bootlegs and roll outs, showing good accuracy and arm strength to fire passes downfield.

Intangibles: Voted a team captain at NC State and Wisconsin … Attempted 379 passes between interceptions -- the longest streak in NCAA history -- over a two year span of 13 games in 2009-10. Finished his collegiate career 30-20, including 11-3 as a senior … Wilson was drafted in the fourth round of the 2009 MLB draft by the Colorado Rockies. The second baseman hit .229 with five home runs and 26 RBIs in the Northwest and South Atlantic leagues. Wilson notified the Rockies in January 2012 that he will pursue playing in the NFL over baseball … Good bloodlines. His father, the late Harrison Wilson III, played football and baseball at Dartmouth and spent time on the San Diego Chargers' practice squad …

From Pro Football Weekly

An instinctive, multisport athlete with a terrific work ethic and likable personality, Wilson has nearly everything you desire intangibly, including toughness, competitiveness and leadership. Never will be a prototypical dropback, pocket passer, as his height always will be a limiting factor, but he has the arm, legs and smarts to grow into an effective backup in a system where he can utilize play-action, rollouts, and improv skills to make plays. Versatile player who could even be sprinkled into the game plan on a weekly basis to take advantage of his dual-threat ability. Is the type of player you root for and want on your roster.

From NFL.com

Wilson is this year's big-time question mark at quarterback. Unlike those who have held this title in the past, Wilson is a stellar passer who shows arm strength and accuracy when he is able to deliver the ball without a hitch. The North Carolina State transfer has outstanding football intelligence, as he picked up the Wisconsin offense in a short time and was the opening-day starter. But teams will have concerns whether Wilson can see over the pocket to make the throws at the next level. He is a mechanical mover who has strong technique and leadership qualities. If Wilson were three inches taller, there would be debate at the top of the draft as to where he fits. But look for teams to take a flier on him in a late round to see if he can develop and outplay his size.

From NFL Draft Monsters
Overall: I’m a huge fan of Wilson and even though I expected him to be a terrific quarterback for the University of Wisconsin even I couldn’t have anticipated him being this good this soon. He has absolutely shut up everyone who doubted that he could transition into the Badgers smoothly and he has not only transformed the Badgers into contenders, he has transformed them into a virtual lock for the Rose Bowl as the eventual Big 10 champions. His height is his most significant issue as a prospect, and beyond that he is a very well-rounded prospect that if he was three or four inches taller would warrant serious first or second round consideration in my opinion. He’s got plenty of upside, he just has to prove that he can overcome his lack of ideal (or even average) height. Playing behind Wisconsin’s mammoth offensive line and having this kind of success can’t hurt, and it will be interesting to see how he ultimately translates to the NFL once he gets drafted.
From Mike Maycock
"Wilson looks like Doug Flutie to me, he really does," Mayock said. "He makes plays, he’s smart, he’s tough." Mayock also praised Wilson's "innate understanding of making plays."
For a great breakdown of his skills, how he reads defenses, and a great short nfl quarterback he should model his game after, please click right here.
P.S. From the people who did his projection above. Also, I strongly recommend reading it, I couldn't embed all there images.

Gruden QB Camp- For shorter version click here.

Thoughts about his height

As the data and game tape reveal, Russell Wilson has an above-average nfl arm, great accuracy, intangibles, as pro an offense as you could get, eye-popping stats, and all the other makings to be a first-round pick except one thing: height. At 5-11, he would be the shortest active nfl quarterback. However, I think this has let his value slide tremendously, as many scouts say he can't play in the NFL.

This got me thinking about how height affects a quarterback. The first thought is that if your short, you can't see over the lineman- this might be true, but how does 1-2 inches really make that much of a difference. Also this really made me think about Russell Wilson being able to see: Wisconsin's offensive line on average was 6-5 325 pounds,which is bigger than every NFL except Cincinnati and San Diego. He has a high, quick release point which is why he didn't have an anomaly of dropped passes.

He also has a good, but not great deep ball, however I don't think it would help him that much if he was taller. In the videos above, particularly the link, he can throw 40-50 yards on a rope. A quarterback really only has to throw more than 50 yards if need a hailmary.

His mobility may also help as MIchael Vick is one of the shortest quarterbacks in the league at six feet.

I am more worried about his weight, as mobile quarterbacks who avoid hits get injured (Michael Vick, Sam Bradford) get hurt, while quarterbacks who run through people (Tim Tebow, Cam Newton) stay healthy. This is because big hits become the normal and they adapt. In tape Wilson also chooses to run out of bounds several times.

Other thoughts

One of the things, that I am most impressed with is that he is a competitor and despite being a minor leaguer decide to play football. Playing minor league baseball, football at NC State while maintaining a perfect 4.0 GPA. After being released from NC state's west coast offense he picked up Wisconsin's old-school, pro-style offense almost instantly.

Why the Browns should draft him

In case you haven't noticed Colt McCoy is pretty bad. He came in as the 40th best quarterback in Bill Simmons' Quarterback Power Rankings. Russell Wilson would be an immediate upgrade and has the potential to be a Tony Romo-type player. Besides, I hate Ryan Tannehill, 6 out of 12 in Big 12 passer rating, no experience, and 6th most interceptions. I also think Weeden needs his Airraid system, known for inflating stats, and Blackmon. Osweiler is overrated. Kirk Cousins and Nick Foles are Colt McCoy clones -decent backups. Its also the classic high-upside/no problem if he fails pick.

Why the Browns shouldn't draft him

Two words. Matt Barkley. Yes, tanking is frowned upon, but Barkley is on the same once-a-decade type of prospect as Luck and RG3. If we improve slightly, don't trade away veterans, than we could be stuck like the Dolphins, facing the inevitable reality of a Ryan Tannehill, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert instead of a Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, or RG3.

This is a fan-created post. Dawgs By Nature assumes no responsibility for the content listed.

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