2013 NFL Season: Pokorny's Week 4 NFL Picks

Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

I feel like last week was a trap week -- there were several games early on that did not go as I expected. Fortunately, I escaped with a fairly decent record because I hit on all of my upset picks, such as Cleveland, Miami, and Carolina to finish with a record of 10-6.

My 32-16 start to the 2013 NFL season is much better than my 22-26 start to the 2012 NFL season. Let's hope I can keep up my winning ways in my Week 4 NFL picks below; feel free to share your general thoughts on this week's games in the comments section.

Week 4 Games Explanation Pick
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Prime Time Games Are Lacking: The NFC West has quickly gone from being a potentially dominant division in the NFL, to "the Seattle Seahawks and three other teams." The decline of the 49ers is pretty stunning, and now they face a Jeff Fisher team that had their number in 2012. San Francisco has to get Colin Kaepernick playing better; it won't be a pretty performance this week, but it'll be enough for a win on another relatively lackluster prime time game. 49ers 20, Rams 13

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It's Glennon Time: The Buccaneers are 0-3, but I still have a lot of faith in the investments they made in their secondary. They invested a third-round pick in quarterback Mike Glennon this year, and this week, he will make his debut as he replaces veteran Josh Freeman. That is bound to give Tampa Bay the spark they need to hold off the Cardinals. Buccaneers 23, Cardinals 20

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Backpedaling a Bit: When the Ravens were decimated by the Broncos in Week 1, I thought it confirmed my belief that they would regress significantly this year. When they beat the Browns in Week 2, I still thought they looked vulnerable, but had a better defensive showing than I expected. Last week, they dominated the Houston Texans, and now I'm starting to believe they could be a playoff contender again. Ravens 24, Bills 14

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Hear me ROAR: I heard Katy Perry's song for the first time this week, and now the tune is stuck in my head. Which team is going to let out the roar here, though? The Lions suffered a loss at the receiver position this week when Nate Burleson broke his arm, but that isn't going to cripple the offense. I expect this to be a competitive game, but I'll go with the Bears staying perfect with a game-winning field goal. Bears 23, Lions 21

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The T-Rich Watch Continues: The Jaguars are going back to Blaine Gabbert this week. This is a bad team -- not the Browns. At least Justin Blackmon might add a spark for them next week. The Colts have been an impressive defensive team this year, but this week, I am thinking about Trent Richardson again. The Jaguars don't have a good defense, so I fear that Richardson will have a big play against them and I'll have to listen to people complain about the trade again. Colts 35, Jaguars 14

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Reversal of Fortunes: The Chiefs were abysmal last year, but now that is the fate that the Giants are stuck with. New York can't run the ball whatsoever, and on defense, they aren't generating any pressure. The Chiefs have been playing fundamentally sound with Alex Smith and Andy Reid, so I'm rolling with them to improve to 4-0 and the Giants to fall to 0-4. Yikes. Chiefs 28, Giants 13

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London Bridge is Falling Down: Here you go, London, another showcase of the NFL's best: you get to watch an 0-3 team vs. an 0-3 team! The Steelers have looked pitiful in their three losses. The Vikings haven't been very good, but they've basically lost three down-to-the-wire games. Neither team has the home-field advantage here, but I think the Steelers' defense will get the win because they can still play good run defense. Steelers 17, Vikings 13

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Sustaining Dominance on the Road? This game had me going back-and-forth quite a bit. On one hand, I think the Texans will respond favorably after getting their asses handed to them last week against the Ravens. On the other hand, how can I pick against the Seahawks, a team that has looked like they are in their own league of dominance over the past two weeks? I have to stick with the red-hot Seahawks, even if they are on the road. Seahawks 31, Texans 20

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A Little Swagger: I don't think a lot of people had the Jets or the Titans starting the season at 3-1, but barring a tie, that's the record one of these teams will hold soon. The Jets have been a scrappy team, while the Titans have been more impressive on offense and defense, in my opinion. I was hardly a fan of Jake Locker's over his first two seasons, but there's something different about him in 2013...he's got that swagger that the Titans need to creep into contention. Titans 21, Jets 10

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Not Everybody Can Win: I'd be really frustrated if I was a Chargers fan right now, because they've played well enough to be 3-0, yet find themselves at 1-2, looking up at two teams in their division that could very well be 4-0 after this week's games. The Cowboys look like the "best of the worst" in a sad NFC East, which is why I like the Chargers at home this week to seal a victory late. Chargers 24, Cowboys 20

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Shootout of the Week: Chip Kelly's offense isn't the talk of the league any more, and it's looking more and more like their Week 1 performance was more of a result of the fact that they were facing the Redskins. Kelly will witness a real offensive mastermind at work this week in Peyton Manning. The Eagles' defense has been shredded, and Manning will continue that trend...at record pace. Broncos 45, Eagles 31

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Maybe This Time? When you are 0-3 in the NFC East, what does that mean? You're still in playoff contention. The Redskins need Robert Griffin III to get into a groove...and fast. He's had about a month now to make up for the training camp he missed, and I think we'll start seeing him get more comfortable. If they can't beat the Raiders, though, it might just be all over for the 2013 season. Redskins 28, Raiders 24

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Sunday Night Rebound: The Falcons lost 3 games all of last season, and they are already 1-2 this season. Not a lot has changed with their team, so I am attributing it to a playoff hangover that some teams seem to suffer. The Patriots had the most cake-walk schedule one could ask for to begin the year, and although it wasn't pretty, they got the job done to start at 3-0. Rob Gronkowski may return this week, but the Falcons will get back into a groove on Sunday Night Football. Falcons 27, Patriots 26

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Game of the Week: The Seahawks and the Broncos might be the talk of the NFC and AFC, respectively, but the Saints and the Dolphins have each quietly put together fantastic 3-0 starts. Miami has surpassed my expectations, and while I thought the Saints would be the talk of the NFC South, I didn't expect their defense to be this good. That defense is the reason why I'm sticking with them to improve to 4-0. Saints 24, Dolphins 17

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Battle of Ohio: The Bengals have been a weird team this year in the sense that they seem to have dramatically different quarters within each game. So far, they are 2-1, and look to be the team to beat in the AFC North. After the Browns' offensive breakout in Week 3, though, should fans start thinking about the possibility of pulling off an upset? My full game preview and prediction will go live on Saturday.

TBD
Bye Week

Pokorny's Week 3 NFL Picks Record: 10-6
Pokorny's 2013 NFL Picks Record: 32-16

Survivor Pick: I am 3-0, having picked IND, CIN, and SEA. I picked a lot of close games this week, so this seems tough. Call me crazy, but I am going with the Pittsburgh Steelers to beat the Minnesota Vikings this week.

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