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2015 NFL Season: Pokorny's Week 11 Picks

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Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

I went 4-10 with my picks in Week 10, dropping to 85-61 on the year. It was a disastrous week, but I can only go up for Week 11, right? Feel free to weigh in on some of the games in the comments section.

Week 11 Games Explanation Pick
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Note: This pick was made prior to the airing of Thursday night's game. It is here for record-keeping purposes.

Thursday Night Football: Both of these teams are right in the thick of the AFC South, despite their records being 2-7 and 3-6, respectively. The Jaguars' defense continues to be a letdown, and they only won over Baltimore last week on a blown call that led to an untimed game-winning field goal. The Titans still don't protect Marcus Mariota well enough to see what he can deliver on a consistent basis. This game is a true toss-up, which leans me toward the home-field Jaguars. Jaguars 20, Titans 17

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Can Romo Save Dallas? When you look at Dallas' remaining schedule, they face Miami, Carolina, Washington (twice), Green Bay, New York (Jets), and Buffalo. Currently sitting at 2-7, it's realistic to think that the 5-5 Giants will at least go 2-4 to finish the season, putting them at 7-9 in a worst-case scenario. That means Dallas would have to go 5-2, having already split the season series with the Giants and being 2-2 in the division. It's possible, and I'm going to ride on the wild side and say that Tony Romo's return rejuvenates Dallas against a still-feisty Dolphins team. Cowboys 24, Dolphins 20

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Not the Era John Fox Expected: When John Fox and Adam Gase saw this game on their schedule, I don't think they expected the Brock Osweiler era to begin -- they thought they'd be getting Peyton Manning. A second-round pick in 2012, Osweiler has had four long years to develop, but nobody knows what to really expect from him. If he comes out on fire, does Denver face a difficult decision with an aging Peyton Manning? I'll take Denver to win, but only because their defense is the reason they began the season at 7-0 (they are now 7-2). Broncos 23, Bears 13

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Falcons Need to Find Their Mojo: After starting the season at 5-0 and one of the best-looking offensive teams in the league, they are 1-3 in their last four games, with losses to New Orleans, Tampa Bay, and San Francisco, three of the lower-tier teams in the NFL. Their only win during the stretch came in a 10-7 game over the Titans. It's a familiar story for Kyle Shanahan, who also started very fast in Cleveland before not making adjustments. Now, Atlanta fans are singing the same tune, and Shanahan doesn't care. Fortunately, a bye week came at the right time for Atlanta, as they can put together a good gameplan and hopefully hold off the Hasselbeck-led Colts. Falcons 28, Colts 20

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Hoyer's Nightmare: It's not quite Johnny Manziel, but Brian Hoyer has to think he's in a nightmare. He'll miss this week's game with a concussion, which forced the team to sign Brandon Weeden, just cut by Dallas, and his former teammates in Cleveland. T.J. Yates will get the start, though, in an offense that has had trouble being consistent in 2015. The Jets are in a bit of a funk too, having lost three of four games, but I think their secondary will take advantage of the Texans' quarterback situation this week en route to a low-scoring, Chris-Ivory-led victory. Jets 17, Texans 13

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Shootout of the Week: Coming off of their bye, the Lions pulled off an 18-16 upset win over the Packers last week. The Raiders have been on a hot-cold stretch this year, with 2-game winning and losing streaks going back-and-forth four times. If the trend continues, it'll be a win this week in Detroit. At the core of Oakland's issues is their defense, where they are allowing 34.75 points per game over their last four weeks. They are averaging 30 points per game. When you take away the one game in which Detroit scored 37 points, they are only averaging 16.25 points per game. Even if Oakland's defense struggles again, the offense can overcome it this week on the scoreboard. Raiders 34, Lions 28

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Non-Upset of the Week: I would consider this a marginal upset, but Vegas has the Ravens favored by three points this week. The Rams are being more exposed as the weeks go on due to their quarterback situation. Baltimore is depleted of so many of their intended offensive weapons, but they are still only losing games by a field goal or touchdown because they still have a solid quarterback in Joe Flacco. The Ravens got screwed out of a win last week, so they'll fire back with a home win this week. Ravens 23, Rams 17

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Back to the Sanchise: Just when I thought things were getting brighter for Sam Bradford and the Eagles, he went down with an injury and the team lost to Miami last week. Mark Sanchez now takes the reigns, going up against a 4-5 Buccaneers team that has left me stunned. With how their offensive line looked in the preseason, I thought the Buccaneers would compete for the worst record in the league. Both teams are two games out of a wildcard spot, so whoever loses this game will be at risk of falling well behind. I'll still put my faith in Philadelphia for the long haul, but a Bucs win wouldn't surprise me. Eagles 28, Buccaneers 21

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Rising Team vs. Powerhouse: Dare I say it: the Redskins have become a fun football team to watch? Kirk Cousins has played a big part of that, lending some credibility to Jay Gruden's once-controversial decision to bench Robert Griffin III. Unfortunately, they run in to the powerhouse Panthers who are 9-0 and two games ahead of everybody else in the NFC. Panthers 27, Redskins 14

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Two Confusing Teams: Maybe I'm wrong on this, but if I polled semi-hardcore NFL fans about what the Chiefs' and Chargers' records were, I get the feeling that people wouldn't quite know the answer. My perception is that the Chargers are the better team, but they are 2-7, having lost all five games since beating the Browns. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have rebounded from their 1-5 start to now sit at 4-5. If Denver stumbles without Peyton Manning, could Kansas City creep back into the division race? Probably not, but I'll take the Chiefs to continue riding their hot streak. Chiefs 24, Chargers 20

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Game of the Week: After the Packers began the season at 6-0, I don't think a single person would have fathomed that Green Bay would be behind the Minnesota Vikings in the standings by the time they finally squared off. The Vikings, at 7-2, could be the most dangerous team in the NFC besides Carolina because of their tough defense, sound running game, and overall fundamental football that Mike Zimmer has instilled on the club. It'll be tough for the Packers to snap out of their funk against such a sound team, so I'll take the Vikings. Vikings 28, Packers 24

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No Contest: Even though the Seahawks lost to the Cardinals last week, San Francisco is 0-4 on the road and lost 20-3 to the 49ers a few weeks ago. Blaine Gabbert isn't improving the 49ers' situation that much, and although Seattle still has a lot of things to clean up if they want to climb back into contention, a loss here would be the ultimate shocker. Seahawks 24, 49ers 7

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Sunday Night Football: I guess it was just the Browns that the Bengals were able to roll over in prime time. Both of these teams were in prime time last week, and the Cardinals' offense didn't disappoint while the Bengals' offense fell completely flat. Cincinnati should be more competitive in another shootout type of game, but I'll take Arizona's offense and defense over the Bengals' any day of the week. Cardinals 31, Bengals 27

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Monday Night Football: The Bills are trying to make a push to be a wildcard team, but they'll have to fall back to .500 here with a loss to the Patriots. New England dominated them the last time around before Buffalo tried to stage an insurmountable comeback in the fourth quarter. New England is in cruise control, but if they suffer any minor bump, it'll be in trying to overcome the losses of Dion Lewis and Julian Edelman now. Patriots 42, Bills 21

Bye Weeks

Week 10 Picks Record: 4-10
2015 Season Record: 85-61
Record in Browns Picks: 4-6

Survivor Pick: I'm on a one-game survivor winning streak after the Panthers beat the Titans last week. This week, I'll go with the Seahawks over the 49ers.

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