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The Dolphins looked dead-and-buried early this season -- they had a 1-4 record, with their only win having been against the winless Browns. In Week 6, they stunned the Steelers by a score of 30-15 and went on to win 9 of their final 11 games. Jay Ajayi tore up the Steelers' defense, carrying the ball 25 times for 204 yards and 2 touchdowns. The questionable thing about Ajayi is how hot/cold he is. He rushed for over 200 yards in a game three times this season, an incredible feat. He’s not like that every week, though.
The Steelers’ run defense was OK this year, but they seem susceptible to breakdowns, including what they did in Week 17 against the Browns. They were without their key cog in the middle of the defensive line, but the rest of their starters were in there and taken advantage of by a makeshift offensive line.
Miami should be able to stay in this with an efficient running game, and I actually like Matt Moore a little more than Ryan Tannahill. The Steelers have committed to the running game with Le’Veon Bell down the stretch to good results. With he, Ben Roethlisberger, and Antonio Brown having rested for a week, I’ll trust their fire-power to out-score what Miami brings to the table. Steelers 28, Dolphins 21
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Date/Time: Saturday, January 8, 2017 at 1:05 p.m. ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Television: CBS - Jim Nantz & Phil Simms
NFL Odds: Steelers by 12, Over/Under = 46