/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/56495979/usa_today_10223639.0.jpg)
Yesterday was the one and only cutdown day for all NFL teams, meaning that by 4pm (EST) all teams were required to cut their roster sizes down to 53 players. This is the first year there has been a single cutdown day; previously there would be multiple deadlines and roster-sizes. Starting in 2017, it all happened on one day.
Of course, exciting though this is to add to it our beloved Browns posses the first waiver claim for any and all players dropped by their current teams. Some of that, as well as some other items, took place yesterday but are still developing as of the time of this writing. So, with all the information at my disposal, and with knowledge that some of these things may have been modified by the time you read this, I nevertheless compare the actual final 53 with the roster projections I made on this score back on July 16th.
Unless information comes out that changes statuses, we’ll use the official 53-man post from yesterday as our guide. Here goes:
Quarterback
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9167773/usa_today_10249605.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Starter - Cody Kessler
Backup - Brock Osweiler
3rd string - DeShone Kizer
Reality:
Starter - DeShone Kizer
Backup - Cody Kessler
3rd string - Kevin Hogan
Alright so I kind of hoped to be wrong about what my prediction was on this, and I’m more than thrilled that it will in fact be rookie DeShone Kizer leading this team for, quite hopefully, ever. Had a great preseason and looks poised to start competing against real NFL defenses. If he looks as composed and effective as he has thus far, then it will REALLY be time to get excited.
Unfortunately, Cody Kessler really does not appear to have improved a great deal over the deficiencies that vexed him much of his rookie year. While preseason oughtn't to be taken too seriously with respect to evaluating performance, it can and should be for observing traits. Kessler still has trouble identifying blitz’ pre-snap, holds onto the ball too long and shows some timidity in terms of stretching the field (something his rookie counterpart does not lack at all). Thus, Cod’s chance to claim the starting job came and went, perhaps forever.
Kevin Hogan was a pleasant surprise, showing much improvement from his rookie season. While it may still be that he gets cut if we jump at a waiver wire option that we like, it may also be that his performance vaults him ahead of Kessler on the depth chart. Time will tell but he definitely outplayed Cod (and by plenty) the last two games.
Didn’t quite work out for ‘ol Brock Lobster. Not only did we release him outright on Friday, but yesterday it was widely reported (though not at this time officially confirmed) that he signed back with the team that originally drafted him, the Denver Broncos. So much for that experience, which as we’ll see a bit later ended before a great many expected. However we’ll always have the memories, and a 2nd round pick heisted from Houston in next year’s draft.
Running Backs
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9167879/usa_today_10219540.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Starter - Isaiah Crowell
Backup - Duke Johnson
3rd string - Matthew Dayes
Fullback - Dan Vitale
Reality:
Starter - Isaiah Crowell
Backup - Duke Johnson
3rd string - Matthew Dayes
Fullback - Dan Vitale
This won’t be said much but: nailed this one. Crowell didn’t play much in the preseason but he didn’t need to. He’s established as the primary back and has even earned the status of “bell-cow” in terms of expectations (he’s steadily being taken very high in just about all fantasy leagues). Here’s hoping a renewed commitment to the ground game combined with Crow’s drive for a huge contract leads to a big year for the fourth-year UDFA.
Duke Johnson enters his third year, and figures once again to be a complement to Crowell, especially as a receiving option out of the backfield. Much was made of the possibility that he’d be used more as a slot receiver in 2017, but that doesn’t appear to have materialized thus far. Time will tell but he seems to be locked solidly as the 2nd RB/third-down back he’s been to this point in his career.
Dayes is a wonderful story, drafted #252 overall, just two picks before the famous “Mr. Irrelevant”. He’s stood out since the early practices and earned his way onto the club. He’ll get carries if either Crow or Duke get dinged up.
Vitale is an intriguing player that looked as if he were about to breakout in a more prominent role in the offense. However he sustained an injury against Tampa Bay and it’s unclear when he’ll return. Hopefully it will be opening day.
Wide Receivers
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9168551/usa_today_10223653.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
WR1 - Corey Coleman
WR2 - Kenny Britt
WR3 - Ricardo Louis
WR4 - Rashard Higgins
Backup WR - Jordan Payton
Backup WR - Rannell Hall
Reality:
WR1 - Corey Coleman
WR2 - Kenny Britt
WR3 - Ricardo Louis
WR4 - Sammie Coats
Backup WR - Rashard Higgins
So I didn’t do terribly here and of course it’s impossible to account for things like Sashi Brown trading the same 6th round pick that we got from Pittsburgh for Justin Gilbert last year back to the Steelers in order to obtain Sammie Coates yesterday. We moved on from both Payton and Hall as well as promising wideout Jordan Leslie. I find it hard to believe we’d only keep five WR’s though, so I expect we’ll be adding someone from the waiver acquisitions.
Corey Coleman looked sensational to me during the game in Tampa, and looks poised to show off the talent that made him the 15th overall selection in 2016 (as well as the first WR off the board). He seems to have developed a rapport with Kizer and I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a prolific FF producer. I’d still handcuff him with Britt though, who despite some preseason drops easily will be the starter along with Coleman.
Louis and Higgins didn’t do a great deal this summer, but remain nonetheless. It may be that if multiple WR’s become available through the waiver process that one could be moved, possibly to the practice squad.
Tight End
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9168643/usa_today_10232996.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Starter - David Njoku
Backup - Seth DeValve
3rd string - Randall Telfer
Reality:
Starter - David Njoku
Backup - Seth DeValve
3rd string - Randall Telfer
Now before I go patting myself on the back here, it’s not really clear that Njoku’s going to be the starter. It’s a projection but it could very well be Seth DeValve instead. Both are big, athletic targets in the passing game. Randall Telfer is the better blocker of the group.
Offensive Line
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9168729/841374334.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
LT - Joe Thomas
LG - Joel Bitonio
C - J.C. Tretter
RG - Kevin Zietler
RT - Cam Erving
Backup T - Shon Coleman
Backup Interior - Spencer Drango
Backup T - Rod Johnson
Reality:
LT - Joe Thomas
LG - Joel Bitonio
C - J.C. Tretter
RG - Kevin Zietler
RT - Shon Coleman
Backup T - Rod Johnson
Backup G - Spencer Drango
Backup T - Zach Sterup
Backup C - Austin Reiter
Backup Interior - Marcus Martin
So by all appearances the competition at RT was going to be competitive. As it turned out, Shon Coleman won it outright, and Cam Erving has since been traded to Kansas City. So Coleman’s the guy, and if he can nail down the position this should be a very good line.
I’m really surprised at just how many of these guys were kept. I just can’ believe we’re going to keep ten offensive linemen. My guess is this is going to be a position group that gets raided when the waiver selections come in. Some of them may then be moved to the PS, presumably.
Defensive Line
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9168823/836540808.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Starting RE - Myles Garrett
Starting DT - Danny Shelton
Starting DT - Larry Ogunjobi
Starting LE - Emmanuel Ogbah
Backup EDGE - Tyrone Holmes
Backup DT - Caleb Brantley
Backup DT - Jamie Meder
Backup DL - Carl Nassib
Backup EDGE - Nate Orchard
Realty:
Starting RE - Myles Garrett
Starting DT - Danny Shelton
Starting DT - Trevon Coley
Starting LE - Emmanuel Ogbah
Backup EDGE - Tyrone Holmes
Backup DT - Larry Ogunjobi
Backup DT - Caleb Brantley
Backup DL - Carl Nassib
Backup DT - Jamie Meder
Backup EDGE - Nate Orchard
Unlike the situation with the OL, that we have a ten DL’s is probably more indicative of a surplus of talent at the postion, which is a welcome change. The big story of the summer has been the emergence of Trevon Coley. He’s come out of nowhere to be the Browns’ best interior lineman of the preseason. He should get a lot of work early too as Danny Shelton continues to nurse an injury.
Nate Orchard’s presence on the roster is good news. He flashed at times and it sure would be nice to get some value out of a former 2nd round pick.
Linebackers
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169047/usa_today_9756928.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Starting Linebacker - Jamie Collins
Starting Linebacker - Christian Kirksey
Third Linebacker - Joe Schobert
Backup Linebacker - Tank Carder
Backup Linebacker - Dominique Alexander
Backup Linebacker - Kenneth Olugbode
Reality:
Starting Linebacker - Jamie Collins
Starting Linebacker - Christian Kirksey
Third Linebacker - Joe Schobert
Backup Linebacker - Dominique Alexander
Backup Linebacker - James Burgess
Tank Carder actually started out as the third LB, but was injured early into the process and has since been placed on season-ending IR. Joe Schobert stepped up and immediately made it clear that he should be on the field. My man Dominique Alexander makes it for the 2nd year in a row.
I kind of feel like five LB’s is thin, but also hard to see us adding more when we let some pretty talented players leave already. May speak more to the scheme we’re running.
Secondary
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169069/usa_today_10232804.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Starting CB - Joe Haden
Starting CB - Jamar Taylor
Hybrid NB - Jabrill Peppers
Starting Free Safety - Jason McCourty).
Starting Strong Safety - Calvin Pryor
Third CB - Briean Boddy-Calhoun
Backup CB - Howard Wilson
Backup CB - Channing Stribling
Backup Safety - Ed Reynolds
Backup Safety - Derrick Kindred
Backup Safety - Ibraheim Campbell
Reality:
Starting CB - Jason McCourty
Starting CB - Jamar Taylor
Third CB - Briean Boddy-Calhoun
Starting Safety - Jabrill Peppers
Starting Safety - Derrick Kindred
Backup Safety - Calvin Pryor
Backup Safety - Ibraheim Campbell
Backup Safety - Kai Nacua
Backup CB - Darius Hillary
Backup CB - Marcus Burley
So yeah, the whole Joe Haden thing threw a serious hitch in my giddy-up on these secondary projections, but I got way more wrong than that. Jason McCourty was never used at Safety, but Jabrill Peppers has pretty much exclusively been.
Ed Reynolds was another IR casualty, and Ibraheim Campbell was injured on one of the first plays of preseason - effectively ending his bid to win the starting SS role. Kai Nacua was kind of a fan favorite, and it’s nice to see him make the squad. I see both Hillary & Burley as possible waiver-cuts.
The Specialists
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169111/usa_today_10219583.jpg)
Ez’s Projections:
Kicker - Zane Gonzalez
Punter - Britton Colquitt
Long-Snapper - Charley Hughlett
Reality:
Kicker - Zane Gonzalez
Punter - Britton Colquitt
Long-Snapper - Charley Hughlett
This one really came down to the wire between Gonzalez and Cody Parkey, but the rookie ended up winning it and I’m sure Parkey won’t be unemployed long. Colquitt & Hughlett were locks.
Final stats on Final Fifty-Three: 43/53 (81%)
I’ll take it. Big misses on Erving, Haden, and Coley, but then I’d imagine at least two of those three were pretty big surprises to just about everyone.
Final stats on depth chart projections: 18/25 (72%)
Missed bad on Kessler, Erving, Coley, and basically the entire secondary. I just had the secondary all kinds of wrong.
And finally...
Over the last month, I’ve been conducting something of a weekly-tracking poll with respect to the quarterback position. Now that it’s decided, let’s look back at the results:
7/30/17:
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169151/poll1.png)
8/6/17:
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169161/poll2.png)
8/13/17:
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169173/poll3.png)
8/20/17:
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169183/poll4.png)
8/27/17:
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9169191/poll5.png)
Fun! Happy Sunday everyone, and one week from today is GAME DAY!!!