FanPost

How well do the pundits predict the NFL draft


For the fifth year I’ve created a list that tried to consolidate the ratings of seven different on line sites (free) to see who is expected to be the first 65 players drafted. In the past the exercise has shown that the consolidated list has correctly predicted 45 to 50 picks of the first 65. Generally there are not more than two players in the first round who are not on the consolidated list.


I’m not sure what has happened this year. Fifth year covid players? NIH allowances? A phase of the moon? I have almost no confidence in the list this year. The opinions swing wildly on so many players that it almost appears that a list that truly showed a confluence of opinion would have 25 to 30 players. There does seem to be a strong opinion that there deep well of players that could be selected in the first 2 rounds. If true the third and fourth round could be more promising than in normal years.


As in the past the players are not listed in any ranked order. Here is this year’s list as seven pundits seemed to see it:



C

Joe Tippmann

Wisconsin

C

John Michael Schmitz

Minnesota

C

Steve Avila

TCU

CB

Cam Smith

South Carolina

CB

Christian Gonzalez

Oregon

CB

D.J. Turner

Michigan

CB

Devon Witherspoon

Illinois

CB

Emmanuel Forbes

Miss. State

CB

Joey Porter Jr.

Penn State

CB

Julius Brents

Kansas State

CB

Kelee Ringo

Georgia

DB

Deonte Banks

Maryland

DE/ED

BJ Ojulari

LSU

DE/ED

Derick Hall

Auburn

DE/ED

Felix Anudike-Uzomah

Kansas State

DE/ED

Isaiah Foskey

Notre Dame

DE/ED

Myles Murphy

Clemson

DE/ED

Nolan Smith

Georgia

DE/ED

Will McDonald IV

Iowa State

DL/ED

Adetomiwa Adebawore

Northwestern

DL/ED

Keion White

Georgia Tech

DL/ED

Lukas Van Ness

Iowa

DL/ED

Tui Tuipulotu

USC

DL/ED

Tyree Wilson

Texas Tech

DT

Bryan Bresee

Clemson

DT

Calijah Kancey

Pittsburgh

DT

Gervon Dexter Sr.

Florida

DT

Jalen Carter

Georgia

DT

Mazi Smith

Michigan

G

O'Cyrus Torrence

Florida

LB

Daiyan Henley

Washington State

LB

Jack Campbell

Iowa

LB

Trenton Simpson

Clemson

NT

Keeanu Benton

Wisconsin

OLB/ED

Drew Sanders

Arkansas

OLB/ED

Will Anderson

Alabama

OT

Anton Harrison

Oklahoma

OT

Broderick Jones

Georgia

OT

Cody Mauch

N. Dakota St.

OT

Darnell Wright

Tennessee

OT

Dawand Jones

Ohio State

OT

Paris Johnson Jr.

Ohio State

OT

Peter Skoronski

Northwestern

QB

Anthony Richardson

Florida

QB

Bryce Young

Alabama

QB

C.J. Stroud

Ohio State

QB

Hendon Hooker

Tennessee

QB

Will Levis

Kentucky

RB

Bijan Robinson

Texas

RB

Jahmyr Gibbs

Alabama

RB

Zach Charbonnet

UCLA

S

Brian Branch

Alabama

S/CB

Antonio Johnson

Texas A&M

TE

Dalton Kincaid

Utah

TE

Darnell Washington

Georgia

TE

Luke Musgrave

Oregon State

TE

Michael Mayer

Notre Dame

TE

Sam LaPorta

Iowa

WR

Jalin Hyatt

Tennessee

WR

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

Ohio State

WR

Jordan Addison

USC

WR

Josh Downs

North Carolina

WR

Quentin Johnston

TCU

WR

Rashee Rice

SMU

WR

Zay Flowers

Boston College

As for my hopes during the draft I’m hoping that they draft to add talent for DL, S, LB, OL & RB. I’m not in favor of using any of our picks on WRs. In any case the drafted players will need to be special team contributors with the potential to develop into position players. I don’t expect us to select eight players and if we do I suspect several will not make the final roster.


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